Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-1614u
ROI
-8.9%
win rate
55%
bets
585
drawdown
138.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4top-up-1000u
period 3top-up-217u
period 2top-up-557u
period 1profit withdrawn+160u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 1372 | 56% | -784 | -6.1% | 86.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1372 | 56% | -800 | -5.8% | 89% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1372 | 56% | -1526 | -6.3% | 155.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 585 | 55% | -1614 | -8.9% | 138.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1372 | 56% | -3394 | -6.8% | 285.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1372 | 56% | -5224 | -7.2% | 363.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 585, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.07.26 | Rune Eaters – DEPO | DEPO | 1.75 | 532 | lost | -532 | -614 |
| 25.07.26 | DEPO – ZWAW | ZWAW | 1.87 | 320 | lost | -320 | -82 |
| 24.07.26 | DENDELE – FURIA | FURIA | 1.65 | 160 | lost | -160 | 238 |
| 24.07.26 | GenOne – Atreides | GenOne | 1.76 | 80 | lost | -80 | 398 |
| 24.07.26 | Privateer – Misa | Privateer | 1.70 | 40 | lost | -40 | 478 |
| 24.07.26 | Liquid – Vitality | Vitality | 1.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 518 |
| 24.07.26 | EAC – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 1.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 538 |
| 24.07.26 | megoshort – ROUNDS | ROUNDS | 1.57 | 10 | won | +6 | 548 |
| 24.07.26 | Phantom – G2 Ares | Phantom | 1.86 | 10 | won | +9 | 542 |
| 24.07.26 | 5star – Chinggis Warriors | 5star | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 533 |
| 24.07.26 | 1win – Eternal Fire | Eternal Fire | 1.87 | 20 | won | +17 | 526 |
| 24.07.26 | Isurus – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 509 |
| 23.07.26 | megoshort – Privateer | Privateer | 1.53 | 20 | won | +11 | 519 |
| 23.07.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Echo | Echo | 1.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 508 |
| 23.07.26 | SINNERS – FUT | FUT | 1.60 | 10 | won | +6 | 518 |
| 23.07.26 | Lavked – ex-RUSTEC | Lavked | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 512 |
| 23.07.26 | Entropy – Subtop De France | Entropy | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 504 |
| 22.07.26 | Procyon – MAGICOS | MAGICOS | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 496 |
| 22.07.26 | Eternal Fire – CYBERSHOKE | Eternal Fire | 1.85 | 10 | won | +8 | 489 |
| 22.07.26 | BORRACHEIROS – BESTIA Academy | BORRACHEIROS | 1.88 | 10 | won | +9 | 481 |
| 21.07.26 | magic – Gentle Mates | magic | 1.83 | 20 | won | +17 | 472 |
| 21.07.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – MOUZ | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | 455 |
| 21.07.26 | Enjoy – QUAZAR | QUAZAR | 1.68 | 40 | won | +27 | 465 |
| 21.07.26 | M80 – Ninjas in Pyjamas | M80 | 1.62 | 20 | lost | -20 | 438 |
| 21.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – G2 Ares | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.70 | 10 | lost | -10 | 458 |
| 20.07.26 | Misa – Lilmix | Misa | 1.73 | 10 | won | +7 | 468 |
| 20.07.26 | benched gods – Mai Tai | benched gods | 1.62 | 40 | won | +25 | 461 |
| 20.07.26 | Fluxo – Imperial | Imperial | 1.43 | 20 | lost | -20 | 436 |
| 19.07.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | ex-MANA | 1.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 456 |
| 19.07.26 | Denmark – Belgium | Denmark | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 466 |
| 19.07.26 | Poland – Kosovo | Poland | 1.82 | 588 | won | +484 | 458 |
| 19.07.26 | Germany – France | Germany | 1.89 | 320 | lost | -320 | -26 |
| 19.07.26 | Kosovo – Lithuania | Kosovo | 1.89 | 160 | lost | -160 | 294 |
| 19.07.26 | GUGUGAGA – OG club | GUGUGAGA | 1.89 | 80 | lost | -80 | 454 |
| 19.07.26 | Mai Tai – ROUNDS | ROUNDS | 1.61 | 40 | lost | -40 | 534 |
| 19.07.26 | BET-M – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.46 | 20 | lost | -20 | 574 |
| 19.07.26 | BIG Academy – Vexar | BIG Academy | 1.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 594 |
| 18.07.26 | benched gods – Misa | benched gods | 1.62 | 10 | won | +6 | 604 |
| 18.07.26 | Imperial – ShindeN | Imperial | 1.63 | 10 | won | +6 | 597 |
| 18.07.26 | Privateer – Voracity | Privateer | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 591 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-MANA – OlyBet | ex-MANA | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 582 |
| 18.07.26 | Blitzkrieg – Vasco | Blitzkrieg | 1.68 | 10 | won | +7 | 575 |
| 18.07.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – Ground Zero | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 569 |
| 18.07.26 | BESTIA Academy – MAGICOS | BESTIA Academy | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 561 |
| 17.07.26 | ODDIK – Procyon | ODDIK | 1.70 | 160 | won | +112 | 552 |
| 17.07.26 | Spirit Academy – PsychoFace | Spirit Academy | 1.61 | 80 | lost | -80 | 441 |
| 17.07.26 | Misa – OlyBet | OlyBet | 1.85 | 40 | lost | -40 | 521 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.38 | 20 | lost | -20 | 561 |
| 17.07.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – HEROIC | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 581 |
| 17.07.26 | los kogutos – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 1.72 | 80 | won | +58 | 591 |
| 17.07.26 | K27 – Phantom | Phantom | 1.60 | 40 | lost | -40 | 533 |
| 17.07.26 | Lilmix – Entropy | Entropy | 1.63 | 20 | lost | -20 | 573 |
| 17.07.26 | 1win – GenOne | GenOne | 1.58 | 10 | lost | -10 | 593 |
| 16.07.26 | Honvéd – Subtop De France | Honvéd | 1.52 | 20 | won | +10 | 603 |
| 16.07.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Gentle Mates | Gentle Mates | 1.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | 592 |
| 16.07.26 | ROUNDS – megoshort | ROUNDS | 1.67 | 10 | won | +7 | 602 |
| 16.07.26 | BORRACHEIROS – ex-KRÜ | BORRACHEIROS | 1.68 | 20 | won | +14 | 596 |
| 16.07.26 | Fluxo – RUSH | RUSH | 1.79 | 10 | lost | -10 | 582 |
| 15.07.26 | paiN – Phantom | Phantom | 1.61 | 10 | won | +6 | 592 |
| 15.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Subtop De France | Inner Circle Academy | 1.61 | 80 | won | +49 | 586 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.