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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-558u
ROI
-2%
win rate
58%
bets
2821
drawdown
79.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+145u
period 6top-up-116u
period 5top-up-131u
period 4top-up-189u
period 3top-up-116u
period 2top-up-211u
period 1profit withdrawn+61u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)282158%-558-2%79.1%Selected
1% of bankroll282158%-575-2.1%79.8%Select
Martingale18657%-663-12%78.8%Select
2% of bankroll282158%-1153-2.2%139.8%Select
5% of bankroll282158%-2606-2.4%240.8%Select
10% of bankroll282158%-3949-2.6%292.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2821, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5510won+5442
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7437
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9430
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10422
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6432
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10425
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4435
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8431
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10423
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7433
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4426
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7610won+8422
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8710won+9414
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10406
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8416
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7408
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7401
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8394
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7385
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8379
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5371
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7366
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5359
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10355
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5365
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8359
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8351
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10344
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5354
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8349
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8341
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10333
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5343
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10338
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6348
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8710lost-10343
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10353
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10363
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8373
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3365
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4362
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6358
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10352
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+5362
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10357
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7367
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7360
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6510won+6353
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6310lost-10346
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+6356
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910won+7350
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7110lost-10343
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-10353
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8510lost-10363
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7710lost-10373
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8210won+8383
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4210won+4375
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3510won+3371
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+3367
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritSpirit1.6210lost-10364
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.