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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1131u
ROI
-4%
win rate
57%
bets
2825
drawdown
125%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+42u
period 6top-up-204u
period 5top-up-259u
period 4top-up-228u
period 3top-up-226u
period 2top-up-261u
period 1profit withdrawn+5u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale18656%-616-12.6%76.4%Select
1% of bankroll282557%-1083-4.2%117.4%Select
Flat (10 units)282557%-1131-4%125%Selected
2% of bankroll282557%-2046-4.4%199.5%Select
5% of bankroll282557%-4107-4.7%318.6%Select
10% of bankroll282557%-5669-5.3%331.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2825, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadFORZE Reload1.6910won+7-131
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+4-138
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5-142
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8410won+8-147
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7-155
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10-162
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5510lost-10-152
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9-142
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6-150
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10-157
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4-147
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8-151
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10-159
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7-149
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4-156
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7610won+8-160
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8710won+9-167
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10-176
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7-166
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8-173
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7-181
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8-188
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7-197
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8-203
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5-211
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7-216
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5-223
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10-227
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5-217
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8-223
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7410lost-10-231
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10-221
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5-211
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7410lost-10-216
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8-206
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6610won+7-214
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5-220
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-225
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6-215
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5-221
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10-225
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8-215
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10-223
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3-213
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4-216
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-220
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10-226
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8610lost-10-216
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10-206
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7-196
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7-203
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6510won+6-210
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7310lost-10-217
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6310lost-10-207
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4210won+4-197
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4110won+4-201
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-10-205
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8510lost-10-195
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7710lost-10-185
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8210won+8-175
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.