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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-986u
ROI
-7.9%
win rate
53%
bets
1245
drawdown
101.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-171u
period 3top-up-584u
period 2top-up-222u
period 1top-up-9u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale124553%+339+1%79.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
1% of bankroll124553%-845-7.4%86.8%Select
Flat (10 units)124553%-986-7.9%101.5%Selected
2% of bankroll124553%-1475-7.1%149.9%Select
5% of bankroll124553%-2676-6.7%263.1%Select
10% of bankroll124553%-3624-7.1%341.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1245, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Lavked – ENCEENCE1.8210won+814
20.08.26mellren – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.5310lost-106
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityFaZe1.6810lost-1016
20.08.26OG – SPARTAOG1.7710won+826
20.08.26Metizport – ColorColor1.8510lost-1018
20.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verseex-Sashi Academy1.8210lost-1028
20.08.26Natus Vincere – LegacyNatus Vincere1.8710lost-1038
20.08.26Lavked – UNiTYUNiTY1.8210won+848
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersHonvéd1.6710won+740
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZMOUZ1.5510won+634
19.08.26Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT1.6810won+728
19.08.26The Last Resort – OGOG1.8010won+821
19.08.26EAC – ColorEAC1.7810lost-1013
19.08.26FUT – magicmagic1.8010lost-1023
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4310lost-1033
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero TenacityEnjoy1.6710lost-1043
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseRevise1.6710lost-1053
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxFire Flux1.6710won+763
19.08.26SAW Youngsters – ex-MANAex-MANA1.8610lost-1056
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaHYPERSPIRIT1.7810won+866
19.08.26Misa – ex-Sashi Academyex-Sashi Academy1.8010won+859
18.08.26Lavked – HAVULavked1.8410lost-1051
18.08.26EAC – OGEAC1.7410lost-1061
18.08.26Omega – EntropyOmega1.4610lost-1071
18.08.26Fire Flux – PCIFICFire Flux1.8210lost-1081
18.08.26Metizport – SPARTASPARTA1.8710lost-1091
18.08.26DONSTU – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT1.7710won+8101
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICPCIFIC1.7110won+793
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaBushido Wildcats1.2910won+386
18.08.26Strael Bora – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.8610won+983
18.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTASPARTA1.8010won+874
18.08.26EAC – FortressEAC1.4510won+566
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUMetizport1.7010won+762
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxOmega1.6010lost-1055
18.08.26Honvéd – EntropyHonvéd1.8610won+965
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiENCE1.5310won+556
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – PermittaBushido Wildcats1.4310won+451
17.08.26mellren – Noir Versemellren1.6810won+747
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresNexus1.7510lost-1040
17.08.26LPH – SAW YoungstersLPH1.6310won+650
17.08.26NEW VISION – VexarVexar1.7110won+744
17.08.26Permitta – UNiTYPermitta1.8310lost-1036
17.08.26ex-RUSTEC – DragonClawex-RUSTEC1.4410won+446
16.08.26Lavked – INOX DivisionINOX Division1.4510lost-1042
16.08.26Legacy – MIBRMIBR1.7710lost-1052
16.08.26Keyd Stars – ImperialImperial1.6510won+662
16.08.26DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.6810won+756
16.08.26Fire Flux – GUESSFire Flux1.8310won+849
16.08.26UNiTY – MisaUNiTY1.8010won+840
16.08.26Honvéd – mellrenmellren1.7410won+732
16.08.26INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYSINOX Division1.6510lost-1025
16.08.26EAC – LavkedEAC1.8110won+835
16.08.26Bushido Wildcats – FortressBushido Wildcats1.3210won+327
16.08.26BERG – HAVUBERG1.6610lost-1024
16.08.26FORZE Reload – DONSTUFORZE Reload1.7310won+734
16.08.26Lynn Vision – VitalityLynn Vision1.8410lost-1027
16.08.26ROUNDS – VexarVexar1.6510won+737
16.08.26ex-MANA – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5810won+630
16.08.26paiN Academy – ALKAALKA1.6610won+724
15.08.26Spirit – BIGSpirit1.7410won+718
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.