Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
+934u
ROI
+2.2%
win rate
56%
bets
1645
drawdown
40.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4profit withdrawn+204u
period 3profit withdrawn+449u
period 2profit withdrawn+910u
period 1profit withdrawn+372u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 1645 | 56% | +934 | +2.2% | 40.5% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 2823 | 57% | -898 | -3.4% | 96.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2823 | 57% | -912 | -3.2% | 98.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2823 | 57% | -1751 | -3.6% | 170.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2823 | 57% | -3828 | -4.2% | 299.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2823 | 57% | -5602 | -5% | 375.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1645, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.08.26 | Leo – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.83 | 526 | lost | -526 | 1934 |
| 25.08.26 | Color – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.68 | 320 | lost | -320 | 2461 |
| 25.08.26 | ex-GUARA – Blitzkrieg | ex-GUARA | 1.68 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2781 |
| 25.08.26 | ex-RUBY – Black Phoenix | ex-RUBY | 1.66 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2941 |
| 24.08.26 | 100 Thieves – Eternal Fire | 100 Thieves | 1.71 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3021 |
| 24.08.26 | Color – EAC | EAC | 1.84 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3061 |
| 24.08.26 | 100 Thieves – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3081 |
| 24.08.26 | Insiders – EAC | EAC | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 3091 |
| 24.08.26 | Echo – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 1.71 | 80 | won | +57 | 3083 |
| 24.08.26 | Eternal Fire – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.64 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3027 |
| 24.08.26 | BAKS – Color | BAKS | 1.82 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3067 |
| 24.08.26 | GenOne – Leo | GenOne | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3087 |
| 24.08.26 | Falcons Force – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 1.60 | 10 | won | +6 | 3097 |
| 24.08.26 | INOX Division – Butterfly | INOX Division | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 3091 |
| 24.08.26 | The Huns – Nas | The Huns | 1.80 | 20 | won | +16 | 3083 |
| 24.08.26 | 5star – Kaleido | 5star | 1.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3067 |
| 24.08.26 | The Huns – Vitalem Aerem | The Huns | 1.87 | 20 | won | +17 | 3077 |
| 23.08.26 | MAYBE – FORZE Reload | MAYBE | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3059 |
| 23.08.26 | Just Players – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.86 | 10 | won | +9 | 3069 |
| 23.08.26 | HOTU – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | HOTU | 1.81 | 80 | won | +64 | 3061 |
| 23.08.26 | 5star – Alter Ego | 5star | 1.76 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2996 |
| 23.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 1.68 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3036 |
| 23.08.26 | mellren – WBT | WBT | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3056 |
| 23.08.26 | GenOne – ex-RUSTEC | GenOne | 1.65 | 10 | won | +6 | 3066 |
| 23.08.26 | FUT – Spirit | Spirit | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 3060 |
| 23.08.26 | Nordic Partners – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 1.64 | 20 | won | +13 | 3055 |
| 23.08.26 | Honvéd – Revise | Revise | 1.75 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3042 |
| 23.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – MASONIC | Drip Too Hard | 1.86 | 10 | won | +9 | 3052 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | ex-RUBY | 1.29 | 80 | won | +23 | 3044 |
| 23.08.26 | Kaleido – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.61 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3021 |
| 23.08.26 | Color – SPARTA | Color | 1.85 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3061 |
| 23.08.26 | Rare Atom – Vitalem Aerem | Vitalem Aerem | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3081 |
| 23.08.26 | The Huns – Chinggis Warriors | The Huns | 1.78 | 20 | won | +16 | 3091 |
| 22.08.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – SPARTA | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3075 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 3085 |
| 22.08.26 | FURIA – FUT | FURIA | 1.75 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3078 |
| 22.08.26 | Leo – HAVU | Leo | 1.77 | 20 | won | +15 | 3088 |
| 22.08.26 | NEXVOID – Alter Ego | NEXVOID | 1.63 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3073 |
| 22.08.26 | 1win – BET-M | 1win | 1.53 | 20 | won | +11 | 3083 |
| 22.08.26 | WBT – mellren | WBT | 1.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3072 |
| 22.08.26 | Falcons Force – ENCE | ENCE | 1.71 | 10 | won | +7 | 3082 |
| 22.08.26 | Lavked – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 3075 |
| 22.08.26 | Nemesis – Color | Nemesis | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 3070 |
| 22.08.26 | 5star – Kaleido | 5star | 1.71 | 40 | won | +28 | 3063 |
| 22.08.26 | The Huns – Rare Atom | The Huns | 1.80 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3034 |
| 21.08.26 | MAYBE – FORZE Reload | FORZE Reload | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3054 |
| 21.08.26 | Noir Verse – Revise | Revise | 1.80 | 80 | won | +64 | 3064 |
| 21.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Just Players | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.79 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3000 |
| 21.08.26 | ex-RUBY – HYPERSPIRIT | ex-RUBY | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3040 |
| 21.08.26 | Noir Verse – LPH | LPH | 1.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3060 |
| 21.08.26 | Permitta – Vexar | Vexar | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 3070 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | GenOne | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 3063 |
| 21.08.26 | Nordic Partners – BET-M | Nordic Partners | 1.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3055 |
| 21.08.26 | Mai Tai – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 1.42 | 40 | won | +17 | 3065 |
| 20.08.26 | Nordic Valor – MAYBE | Nordic Valor | 1.76 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3048 |
| 20.08.26 | FORZE Reload – Younglings | Younglings | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3068 |
| 20.08.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.66 | 10 | won | +7 | 3078 |
| 20.08.26 | Ryvex – Coalesce | Ryvex | 1.88 | 20 | won | +18 | 3072 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons Force – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.58 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3054 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 – FURIA | FURIA | 1.81 | 20 | won | +16 | 3064 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.