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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-36u
ROI
-0.2%
win rate
52%
bets
828
drawdown
56.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

💰
Stake size

Martingale

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3top-up-1000u
period 2profit withdrawn+553u
period 1profit withdrawn+410u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale82852%-36-0.2%56.5%Selected
1% of bankroll126052%-870-7.9%90.1%Select
Flat (10 units)126052%-1079-8.6%112.2%Select
2% of bankroll126052%-1438-7.4%147.5%Select
5% of bankroll126052%-2339-6.3%232.8%Select
10% of bankroll126052%-3177-6.4%314.1%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 828, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
24.07.263DMAX – magicmagic1.47610lost-610964
24.07.261win – Eternal Fire1win1.83320lost-3201574
24.07.26CYBERSHOKE Prospects – HonvédHonvéd1.75160lost-1601894
24.07.26Isurus – Patins da FerrariPatins da Ferrari1.5780lost-802054
23.07.26Imperial – BESTIA AcademyImperial1.6140lost-402134
23.07.26CYBERSHOKE Prospects – benched godsCYBERSHOKE Prospects1.6820lost-202174
23.07.26HEROIC – FOKUSFOKUS1.6610lost-102194
23.07.26K27 – INFINITEINFINITE1.8610won+92204
23.07.26Fluxo – paiN AcademyFluxo1.6380won+502195
23.07.26BET-M – SPARTABET-M1.7940lost-402145
23.07.26Just Players – Endless JourneyEndless Journey1.5620lost-202185
23.07.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – EchoEcho1.6910lost-102205
23.07.26100 Thieves – Nuclear TigeRESNuclear TigeRES1.8820won+182215
23.07.26UNO MILLE – GameHuntersGameHunters1.8010lost-102198
23.07.26SINNERS – FUTFUT1.5340won+212208
23.07.26NEW VISION – benched godsbenched gods1.5120lost-202187
23.07.26Lavked – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.8810lost-102207
23.07.26Walczaki – 3DMAXWalczaki1.5120won+102217
23.07.26FOKUS – AuroraAurora1.7810lost-102206
23.07.26The Huns – Chinggis WarriorsThe Huns1.8320won+172216
23.07.26Just Players – CYBERSHOKEJust Players1.8110lost-102200
23.07.26INOX Division – Inner Circle AcademyINOX Division1.8620won+172210
23.07.26Rune Eaters – EntropyEntropy1.8010lost-102193
23.07.26BESTIA Academy – Red FeetBESTIA Academy1.7410won+72203
22.07.26Procyon – MAGICOSMAGICOS1.8140won+322195
22.07.26Butterfly – benched godsbenched gods1.7220lost-202163
22.07.26Aurora – NemesisNemesis1.7510lost-102183
22.07.26HOTU – GamerLegionHOTU1.4510won+52193
22.07.26Mai Tai – HonvédHonvéd1.5620won+112189
22.07.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – 100 Thieves100 Thieves1.6410lost-102177
22.07.26Nemiga – G2G21.7640won+302187
22.07.26SPARTA – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters1.5220lost-202157
22.07.26Aurora – K27K271.8510lost-102177
22.07.26EYEBALLERS – FaZeFaZe1.7710won+82187
22.07.26HOTU – AstralisHOTU1.4810won+52179
22.07.26eternal premium – Julie&Cieeternal premium1.8610won+92174
22.07.26Black Phoenix – Rune EatersBlack Phoenix1.7820won+162166
22.07.26Just Players – 1winJust Players1.8710lost-102150
21.07.26Procyon – ALKAALKA1.7420won+152160
21.07.26Alliance – WildcardAlliance1.5210lost-102146
21.07.26Fortress – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters1.68160won+1082156
21.07.26ex-RUSTEC – Just PlayersJust Players1.6180lost-802047
21.07.26magic – Gentle MatesGentle Mates1.7640lost-402127
21.07.26Astralis – FOKUSFOKUS1.6020lost-202167
21.07.26Nuclear TigeRES – MOUZNuclear TigeRES1.5910lost-102187
21.07.26Atreides – los kogutosAtreides1.7210won+72197
21.07.26Enjoy – QUAZARQUAZAR1.6810won+72190
21.07.26HOTU – HEROICHOTU1.5410won+52183
21.07.26BET-M – CYBERSHOKECYBERSHOKE1.8510won+82178
21.07.26Honvéd – Julie&CieHonvéd1.6480won+512169
21.07.26M80 – Ninjas in PyjamasM801.6440lost-402118
21.07.26Eternal Fire – AtreidesAtreides1.8120lost-202158
21.07.26Mai Tai – eternal premiumeternal premium1.7810lost-102178
20.07.26Inner Circle Academy – Endless JourneyEndless Journey1.7210won+72188
20.07.26Misa – LilmixMisa1.7610won+82181
20.07.26paiN Academy – GUARApaiN Academy1.8110won+82174
20.07.26SAW Youngsters – MisaSAW Youngsters1.6510won+72165
20.07.26benched gods – Mai Taibenched gods1.6710won+72159
20.07.26ARCRED – 1win1win1.8880won+702152
20.07.26BIG Academy – EntropyBIG Academy1.6040lost-402082
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.