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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-6131u
ROI
-6.4%
win rate
57%
bets
2832
drawdown
482.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-830u
period 6top-up-996u
period 5top-up-967u
period 4top-up-972u
period 3top-up-927u
period 2top-up-972u
period 1top-up-467u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale118656%-211-0.6%63.1%Select
1% of bankroll283257%-1057-4.1%109.9%Select
Flat (10 units)283257%-1073-3.8%112%Select
2% of bankroll283257%-2050-4.4%205%Select
5% of bankroll283257%-4362-5.3%393.2%Select
10% of bankroll283257%-6131-6.4%482.1%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2832, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsFOKUS1.5816won+9-5131
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4715won+7-5140
14.10.26Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTECBlack Phoenix1.7614won+11-5148
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.8416lost-16-5159
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSJust Players1.7318lost-18-5143
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.8620lost-20-5125
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortG2 Ares1.7718won+14-5106
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3817won+7-5120
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.7619lost-19-5126
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4919won+9-5107
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8417won+14-5116
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6616won+11-5130
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4618lost-18-5141
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5520lost-20-5123
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7422lost-22-5103
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6521won+13-5081
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7223lost-23-5095
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4322won+9-5072
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7820won+16-5081
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6023lost-23-5097
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7121won+15-5074
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4020won+8-5089
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7619won+14-5097
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6018won+11-5112
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7620lost-20-5122
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7019won+13-5103
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8017won+14-5116
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7116won+11-5129
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8218lost-18-5141
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6217won+10-5123
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7816won+12-5133
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4515won+7-5145
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7214won+10-5152
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4613won+6-5162
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3413won+4-5168
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7912won+9-5173
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5311won+6-5182
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7413lost-13-5188
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7714lost-14-5175
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5013won+7-5162
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7415lost-15-5168
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8214won+11-5153
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6613won+8-5165
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4812won+6-5173
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3514lost-14-5179
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5513won+7-5165
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8714lost-14-5172
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4714won+6-5158
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5315lost-15-5164
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8114won+11-5149
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2914won+4-5161
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4013won+5-5165
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6012won+7-5170
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5014lost-14-5177
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5013won+7-5163
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6915lost-15-5170
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7314won+10-5155
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6913won+9-5165
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6314lost-14-5174
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6213won+8-5160
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.