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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-3323u
ROI
-3.5%
win rate
57%
bets
2824
drawdown
234.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-441u
period 6top-up-919u
period 5top-up-890u
period 4top-up-459u
period 3top-up-490u
period 2top-up-596u
period 1profit withdrawn+471u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282457%-865-3.3%94.2%Select
Flat (10 units)282457%-915-3.2%99.3%Select
2% of bankroll282457%-1626-3.4%154.1%Select
5% of bankroll282457%-3323-3.5%234.5%Selected
10% of bankroll282457%-4740-3.6%261.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2824, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3827won+10-2323
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4927won+13-2334
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5526won+14-2347
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6625won+17-2361
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4627lost-27-2378
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7428lost-28-2351
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5529lost-29-2323
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6529won+19-2294
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7230lost-30-2312
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4329won+13-2282
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7828won+22-2295
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6030lost-30-2317
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7129won+20-2287
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4028won+11-2307
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6727won+18-2319
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6026won+16-2337
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7628lost-28-2353
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8027won+21-2325
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7026won+18-2346
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7125won+18-2364
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8324won+20-2382
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6723won+15-2402
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7822won+17-2418
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4522won+10-2435
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7221won+15-2445
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4621won+9-2460
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6622lost-22-2469
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5321won+11-2448
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7920won+16-2459
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7421lost-21-2475
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7723lost-23-2454
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5022won+11-2431
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7423lost-23-2442
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8222won+18-2419
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8223lost-23-2437
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4823won+11-2414
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3524lost-24-2425
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5523won+13-2401
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8725lost-25-2414
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4724won+11-2389
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5325lost-25-2400
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8124won+20-2375
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2924won+7-2395
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4024won+9-2401
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6023won+14-2411
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5024lost-24-2425
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5024won+12-2400
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6925lost-25-2412
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7324won+17-2387
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6923won+16-2405
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6522won+15-2421
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6324lost-24-2435
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7325lost-25-2412
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6924won+16-2387
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7125lost-25-2403
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4125won+10-2378
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8526lost-26-2388
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7727lost-27-2362
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8226won+22-2335
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4226won+11-2356
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.