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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1015u
ROI
-8.1%
win rate
53%
bets
1248
drawdown
105.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-246u
period 3top-up-258u
period 2top-up-251u
period 1top-up-260u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale37550%-742-6%80.3%Select
1% of bankroll124853%-933-8.5%96.4%Selected
Flat (10 units)124853%-1015-8.1%105.6%Select
2% of bankroll124853%-1705-8.7%173.4%Select
5% of bankroll124853%-3168-9.1%310.7%Select
10% of bankroll124853%-3906-8.4%367.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1248, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Lavked – ENCEENCE1.8210won+8-15
20.08.26LPH – WBTWBT1.7910won+8-23
20.08.26mellren – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.5310lost-10-31
20.08.26B8 – SpiritSpirit1.5710won+6-21
20.08.26OG – SPARTAOG1.7710won+8-27
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsex-Zero Tenacity1.7710lost-10-34
20.08.26Lavked – UNiTYUNiTY1.8210won+8-24
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZFalcons1.5210won+5-33
20.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verseex-Sashi Academy1.8210lost-10-38
20.08.26G2 Ares – BebopG2 Ares1.8010won+8-28
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZMOUZ1.5510won+6-36
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraAurora1.7710lost-10-41
19.08.26EAC – ColorEAC1.7810lost-10-31
19.08.26Honvéd – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4210lost-10-21
19.08.26FUT – magicmagic1.8010lost-10-11
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseRevise1.6710lost-10-1
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero TenacityEnjoy1.6710lost-109
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCEENCE1.6510lost-1019
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.6610won+729
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTASPARTA1.7510won+722
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaHYPERSPIRIT1.7810won+815
19.08.26Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXTInner Circle Academy1.8510won+87
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYGenOne1.5010won+5-2
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraStrael Bora1.7210lost-10-7
18.08.26Fire Flux – PCIFICFire Flux1.8210lost-103
18.08.26Metizport – SPARTASPARTA1.8710lost-1013
18.08.26EAC – OGEAC1.7410lost-1023
18.08.26Fortress – PermittaPermitta1.5410won+533
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – VexarVexar1.7810lost-1028
18.08.26WBT – Mai TaiWBT1.3610won+438
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaBushido Wildcats1.2910won+334
18.08.26EAC – FortressEAC1.4510won+531
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUMetizport1.7010won+727
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxOmega1.6010lost-1020
18.08.26MASONIC – BebopMASONIC1.7310won+730
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510lost-1023
18.08.26Bebop – benched godsbenched gods1.8010won+833
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiENCE1.5310won+525
17.08.26Revise – FORZE ReloadRevise1.8110won+819
17.08.26mellren – Noir Versemellren1.6810won+711
17.08.26Noir Verse – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.6610won+74
17.08.26NEW VISION – VexarVexar1.7110won+7-2
17.08.26Inner Circle Academy – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.8210lost-10-9
17.08.26benched gods – Phantom AcademyPhantom Academy1.7710lost-101
16.08.26Lavked – INOX DivisionINOX Division1.4510lost-1011
16.08.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSBASEMENT BOYS1.6710lost-1021
16.08.26DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.6810won+731
16.08.26Keyd Stars – ImperialImperial1.6510won+624
16.08.26Fire Flux – GUESSFire Flux1.8310won+817
16.08.26UNiTY – MisaUNiTY1.8010won+89
16.08.26Mai Tai – BERGBERG1.5110lost-101
16.08.26INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYSINOX Division1.6510lost-1011
16.08.26MOUZ – PARIVISIONMOUZ1.6410won+621
16.08.26EAC – LavkedEAC1.8110won+815
16.08.26ENCE – WBTWBT1.6910won+77
16.08.26Lynn Vision – VitalityLynn Vision1.8410lost-10-0
16.08.26ROUNDS – VexarVexar1.6510won+710
16.08.26Nexus – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.5510won+63
16.08.26ex-MANA – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5810won+6-2
16.08.26paiN Academy – ALKAALKA1.6610won+7-8
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.