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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-3670u
ROI
-2.7%
win rate
58%
bets
2823
drawdown
246.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+261u
period 6top-up-997u
period 5top-up-995u
period 4top-up-856u
period 3top-up-851u
period 2top-up-939u
period 1profit withdrawn+706u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282358%-634-2.4%82.4%Select
Flat (10 units)282358%-669-2.4%87.5%Select
2% of bankroll282358%-1192-2.5%134.1%Select
5% of bankroll282358%-2431-2.5%208.9%Select
10% of bankroll282358%-3670-2.7%246.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.49120won+59-2670
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.55114won+62-2729
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.66107won+70-2792
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.46119lost-119-2862
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.87109won+95-2743
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.55122lost-122-2838
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.65114won+74-2716
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.72127lost-127-2791
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.43122won+52-2664
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.78113won+88-2716
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.60125lost-125-2804
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.71117won+83-2679
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.40113won+45-2761
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.67105won+71-2806
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6099won+60-2877
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.76111lost-111-2937
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.70103won+73-2826
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8096won+76-2899
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7189won+64-2975
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8299lost-99-3039
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6293won+58-2939
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7887won+67-2997
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4583won+38-3065
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7277won+56-3102
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4674won+34-3158
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3472won+24-3192
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7966won+53-3216
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5363won+34-3269
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7559won+44-3302
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7765lost-65-3346
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5062won+31-3281
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7558won+43-3312
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8253won+44-3356
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8259lost-59-3399
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4856won+27-3340
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3563lost-63-3367
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5559won+33-3304
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4757won+27-3337
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8153won+43-3364
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5358lost-58-3406
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8154won+44-3348
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2952won+15-3392
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4050won+20-3407
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6048won+28-3427
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5053lost-53-3455
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8659lost-59-3402
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6965lost-65-3343
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6961won+42-3278
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7357won+42-3320
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7363lost-63-3362
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6370lost-70-3299
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6266won+41-3228
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6962won+43-3269
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8269lost-69-3312
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7177lost-77-3243
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8585lost-85-3167
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7794lost-94-3082
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8287won+71-2987
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4284won+35-3059
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3181won+25-3094
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.