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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1626u
ROI
-3.4%
win rate
57%
bets
2824
drawdown
154.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-161u
period 6top-up-574u
period 5top-up-538u
period 4top-up-150u
period 3top-up-184u
period 2top-up-218u
period 1profit withdrawn+200u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282457%-865-3.3%94.2%Select
Flat (10 units)282457%-915-3.2%99.3%Select
2% of bankroll282457%-1626-3.4%154.1%Select
5% of bankroll282457%-3323-3.5%234.5%Select
10% of bankroll282457%-4740-3.6%261.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2824, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3817won+6-626
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4916won+8-632
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5516won+9-640
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6616won+11-649
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4616lost-16-660
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7417lost-17-643
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5517lost-17-626
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6517won+11-609
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7217lost-17-620
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4317won+7-603
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7817won+13-610
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6017lost-17-623
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7117won+12-606
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4017won+7-618
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6717won+11-625
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6016won+10-636
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7617lost-17-646
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8016won+13-629
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7016won+11-642
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7116won+11-654
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8316won+13-665
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6716won+10-678
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7815won+12-688
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4515won+7-700
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7215won+11-707
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4615won+7-718
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6615lost-15-725
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5315won+8-710
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7915won+12-718
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7415lost-15-729
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7715lost-15-714
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5015won+8-699
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7415lost-15-706
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8215won+12-691
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8216lost-16-703
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4815won+7-688
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3516lost-16-695
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5516won+9-680
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8716lost-16-688
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4716won+7-672
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5316lost-16-680
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8116won+13-664
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2916won+5-676
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4016won+6-681
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6015won+9-687
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5016lost-16-696
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5016won+8-681
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6916lost-16-688
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7316won+11-672
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6915won+11-684
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6515won+10-694
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6316lost-16-704
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7316lost-16-689
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6916won+11-673
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7116lost-16-684
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4116won+7-668
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8516lost-16-674
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7716lost-16-658
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8216won+13-642
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4216won+7-655
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.