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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 5548 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5 · Flat (10 units)its recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-95u
profit
-6.5%
ROI
66%
win rate
12.7%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-95u
profit
-6.6%
ROI
66%
win rate
12.7%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-109u
profit
-29.6%
ROI
22%
win rate
15.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-110u
profit
-29.7%
ROI
22%
win rate
15.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-191u
profit
-6.6%
ROI
66%
win rate
25.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-218u
profit
-29.4%
ROI
22%
win rate
29.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-391u
profit
-7.4%
ROI
45%
win rate
62.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-426u
profit
-4.7%
ROI
42%
win rate
48.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-427u
profit
-4.8%
ROI
42%
win rate
48.6%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-486u
profit
-6.7%
ROI
66%
win rate
61.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-501u
profit
-6.4%
ROI
52%
win rate
68.4%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-501u
profit
-6.4%
ROI
52%
win rate
68.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-538u
profit
-29.1%
ROI
22%
win rate
71.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-600u
profit
-4.4%
ROI
45%
win rate
63.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-605u
profit
-4.4%
ROI
45%
win rate
63.6%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-751u
profit
-5.5%
ROI
44%
win rate
75.4%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-756u
profit
-5.5%
ROI
44%
win rate
75.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-800u
profit
-5.8%
ROI
56%
win rate
89%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-800u
profit
-5.8%
ROI
56%
win rate
89%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-800u
profit
-5.8%
ROI
56%
win rate
89%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-800u
profit
-5.8%
ROI
56%
win rate
89%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-857u
profit
-4.8%
ROI
42%
win rate
92.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-979u
profit
-29%
ROI
47%
win rate
98.4%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-1000u
profit
-6.9%
ROI
66%
win rate
118.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-1051u
profit
-28.4%
ROI
22%
win rate
133%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1052u
profit
-25.1%
ROI
41%
win rate
104.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1221u
profit
-4.5%
ROI
45%
win rate
118.9%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1522u
profit
-5.6%
ROI
44%
win rate
150.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1601u
profit
-5.9%
ROI
56%
win rate
164.3%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1601u
profit
-5.9%
ROI
56%
win rate
164.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-2161u
profit
-4.8%
ROI
42%
win rate
203.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-2235u
profit
-97.2%
ROI
10%
win rate
219.3%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-2265u
profit
-83%
ROI
53%
win rate
225.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-3138u
profit
-4.6%
ROI
45%
win rate
248.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-3884u
profit
-5.8%
ROI
44%
win rate
367.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-4001u
profit
-5.9%
ROI
56%
win rate
328.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-4001u
profit
-5.9%
ROI
56%
win rate
328.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-4375u
profit
-4.9%
ROI
42%
win rate
333.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-6584u
profit
-4.9%
ROI
45%
win rate
394%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-7978u
profit
-6%
ROI
56%
win rate
476.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-7978u
profit
-6%
ROI
56%
win rate
476.6%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-8061u
profit
-6.1%
ROI
44%
win rate
706.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.