Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-371u
ROI
-6.1%
win rate
66%
bets
611
drawdown
42.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-29u
period 6top-up-80u
period 5profit withdrawn+16u
period 4top-up-191u
period 3top-up-34u
period 2top-up-54u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 611 | 66% | -361 | -6.2% | 40.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 611 | 66% | -371 | -6.1% | 42.3% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 611 | 66% | -705 | -6.4% | 75.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 611 | 66% | -1036 | -8.6% | 116.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 611 | 66% | -1644 | -7% | 165.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 611 | 66% | -2954 | -8.1% | 276.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 611, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 629 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 639 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 635 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 631 |
| 12.10.26 | GenOne – The Golden Horde | GenOne | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 626 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 636 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 632 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 628 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 623 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 618 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 628 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 624 |
| 11.10.26 | FOKUS – Nordic Partners | FOKUS | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 621 |
| 11.10.26 | Imperial – NRG | Imperial | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 631 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 627 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 623 |
| 11.10.26 | Fire Flux – Gothic | Fire Flux | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 633 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 628 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | FlyQuest | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 623 |
| 11.10.26 | Unreal Nightmare – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.25 | 10 | won | +3 | 619 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 617 |
| 10.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 612 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 622 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.35 | 10 | won | +3 | 618 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 10 | won | +3 | 615 |
| 10.10.26 | DENDELE – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 612 |
| 10.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 622 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 632 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | mellren | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 642 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Abyssal | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 638 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 633 |
| 10.10.26 | BGNS Orange – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 629 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 624 |
| 10.10.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS Orange | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 634 |
| 09.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – PRIVATE | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 644 |
| 09.10.26 | Sangal – G2 Ares | Sangal | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 654 |
| 09.10.26 | Lavked – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 649 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 645 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitality – PARIVISION | Vitality | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 655 |
| 09.10.26 | Nemiga – Gothic | Nemiga | 1.18 | 10 | won | +2 | 651 |
| 09.10.26 | EAC – Sangal | Sangal | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 649 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 644 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 640 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 650 |
| 09.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 660 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Low Cortisol BR | Galorys | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 655 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 651 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.23 | 10 | won | +2 | 661 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 10 | won | +3 | 659 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 656 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 666 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 661 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 658 |
| 08.10.26 | Nemesis – SINNERS | Nemesis | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 668 |
| 08.10.26 | Nemiga – Lavked | Nemiga | 1.15 | 10 | won | +2 | 678 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 677 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Galorys | 1.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 673 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 10 | won | +4 | 683 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | Turma do Pagode | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 679 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 675 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.