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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 2470 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Always the underdog · Quarter Kellyits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+1188u
profit
+1.8%
ROI
45%
win rate
92.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+883u
profit
+10.4%
ROI
48%
win rate
34.7%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+218u
profit
+43.5%
ROI
40%
win rate
10%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+204u
profit
+0.6%
ROI
45%
win rate
78.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+134u
profit
+0.6%
ROI
52%
win rate
48.8%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+134u
profit
+0.6%
ROI
52%
win rate
48.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+109u
profit
+43.5%
ROI
40%
win rate
5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+74u
profit
+105%
ROI
40%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+44u
profit
+43.5%
ROI
40%
win rate
2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+22u
profit
+43.5%
ROI
40%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+22u
profit
+43.5%
ROI
40%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+16u
profit
+1.9%
ROI
67%
win rate
9.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-17u
profit
-3.3%
ROI
67%
win rate
10.1%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-17u
profit
-3.4%
ROI
67%
win rate
10.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-32u
profit
-0.2%
ROI
45%
win rate
50.8%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-33u
profit
-3.2%
ROI
67%
win rate
20%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-37u
profit
-0.5%
ROI
45%
win rate
33.5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-59u
profit
-0.9%
ROI
45%
win rate
34.8%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-78u
profit
-3%
ROI
67%
win rate
48.4%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-138u
profit
-2.7%
ROI
67%
win rate
92%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-203u
profit
-1.6%
ROI
48%
win rate
53.9%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-217u
profit
-1.7%
ROI
48%
win rate
56.2%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-224u
profit
-1.8%
ROI
48%
win rate
53.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-243u
profit
-1.9%
ROI
48%
win rate
56.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-368u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
48%
win rate
94.3%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-388u
profit
-1.6%
ROI
48%
win rate
91.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-438u
profit
-4.1%
ROI
52%
win rate
74.3%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-587u
profit
-0.5%
ROI
48%
win rate
191.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-661u
profit
-5.9%
ROI
50%
win rate
82.8%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-668u
profit
-1.1%
ROI
48%
win rate
148.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-687u
profit
-1.1%
ROI
48%
win rate
175.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-848u
profit
-0.7%
ROI
48%
win rate
262%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1058u
profit
-8.4%
ROI
52%
win rate
110.7%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1058u
profit
-8.4%
ROI
52%
win rate
110.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1079u
profit
-8.6%
ROI
52%
win rate
112.2%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1079u
profit
-8.6%
ROI
52%
win rate
112.2%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-2076u
profit
-8.3%
ROI
52%
win rate
217.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-2076u
profit
-8.3%
ROI
52%
win rate
217.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-4877u
profit
-7.9%
ROI
52%
win rate
517.1%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-4877u
profit
-7.9%
ROI
52%
win rate
517.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-8716u
profit
-7.1%
ROI
52%
win rate
954.2%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-8716u
profit
-7.1%
ROI
52%
win rate
954.2%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.