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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2941u
ROI
-7.7%
win rate
43%
bets
5542
drawdown
287.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-529u
period 6top-up-789u
period 5top-up-591u
period 4top-up-71u
period 3top-up-260u
period 2top-up-676u
period 1top-up-26u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale5448%-1000-43.8%100%Select
Flat (10 units)110645%-1016-9.2%101.5%Select
1% of bankroll554243%-2941-7.7%287.7%Select
2% of bankroll554243%-4279-7.6%405.9%Select
5% of bankroll554243%-5866-8.3%513.8%Select
10% of bankroll554243%-6685-9.3%532.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5542, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.055won+5-1941
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.215lost-5-1946
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.095won+5-1941
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.785lost-5-1947
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.015lost-5-1942
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.295won+6-1937
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.115lost-5-1943
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.905lost-5-1938
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoLiquid1.935won+4-1934
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.455lost-5-1938
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.165lost-5-1933
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.045lost-5-1928
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.305lost-5-1923
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.905lost-5-1918
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.045won+5-1914
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.115lost-5-1919
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.995lost-5-1914
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.105lost-5-1909
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.245won+6-1904
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.965won+5-1910
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.955lost-5-1915
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.125won+6-1910
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.185lost-5-1915
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.265lost-5-1910
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.355lost-5-1905
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.015lost-5-1900
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.695lost-5-1895
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.955lost-5-1889
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.715won+9-1884
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.095lost-5-1893
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.685lost-5-1888
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.185lost-5-1882
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.185won+6-1877
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.455lost-5-1883
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.995lost-5-1878
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.075won+6-1873
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.045lost-5-1878
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.025won+5-1873
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.545lost-5-1878
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.975won+5-1873
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.065won+6-1878
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.045lost-5-1884
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.965lost-5-1878
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.965won+5-1873
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.185lost-5-1878
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEWildcard1.905won+5-1873
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.615lost-5-1878
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.095lost-5-1872
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.125won+11-1867
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds1.995won+5-1878
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.405lost-5-1883
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.915won+5-1878
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.975lost-5-1883
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.205won+6-1877
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.645lost-5-1884
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.455won+8-1878
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.975lost-5-1886
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.525lost-5-1881
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersNordic Partners2.695won+9-1875
11.10.26Imperial – NRGNRG3.045lost-5-1884
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.