Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-281u
ROI
-17.5%
win rate
38%
bets
16
drawdown
47.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+85u
period 2top-up-176u
period 1top-up-190u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 16 | 38% | +302 | +41.9% | 15% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 16 | 38% | -22 | -13.7% | 4.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 16 | 38% | -22 | -14% | 4.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 16 | 38% | -46 | -14.4% | 9.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 16 | 38% | -125 | -15.6% | 22.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 16 | 38% | -281 | -17.5% | 47.1% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 16, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls | Nemiga Gaming | 3.13 | 89 | won | +191 | 719 |
| 13.10.26 | Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.43 | 99 | lost | -99 | 529 |
| 11.10.26 | Team Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.12 | 110 | lost | -110 | 628 |
| 08.10.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.13 | 123 | lost | -123 | 739 |
| 06.10.26 | HULIGANI – CyberHero | HULIGANI | 2.08 | 136 | lost | -136 | 861 |
| 03.10.26 | Team Spirit – Team Yandex | Team Spirit | 2.05 | 123 | won | +130 | 998 |
| 03.10.26 | Daxak Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 2.19 | 110 | won | +131 | 868 |
| 02.10.26 | 1w Team – Team Nemesis | 1w Team | 2.03 | 100 | won | +103 | 737 |
| 30.09.26 | PARIVISION – LGD Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.07 | 74 | won | +79 | 634 |
| 27.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | LGD Gaming | 2.46 | 83 | lost | -83 | 555 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.21 | 92 | lost | -92 | 637 |
| 22.09.26 | Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.35 | 81 | won | +109 | 729 |
| 22.09.26 | avice Team – Daxak Team | avice Team | 2.18 | 90 | lost | -90 | 620 |
| 20.09.26 | Inner Circle – Yellow Submarine | Inner Circle | 2.21 | 100 | lost | -100 | 710 |
| 29.08.26 | Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.02 | 90 | lost | -90 | 810 |
| 23.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | PARIVISION | 2.02 | 100 | lost | -100 | 900 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.