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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-7292u
ROI
-89.5%
win rate
4%
bets
487
drawdown
729.2%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-114u
period 24top-up-305u
period 23top-up-334u
period 22top-up-392u
period 21top-up-348u
period 20top-up-305u
period 19top-up-261u
period 18top-up-298u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll4874%-3971-89.3%397.1%Select
Flat (10 units)4874%-4336-89%433.6%Select
2% of bankroll4874%-7292-89.5%729.2%Selected
5% of bankroll4874%-14329-90.2%1432.9%Select
Quarter Kelly4763%-18473-94.4%1847.3%Select
10% of bankroll4874%-20184-91.3%2018.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 487, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0018lost-18-6292
13.08.26PARIVISION Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0018lost-18-6274
03.08.26Team Liquid Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0019lost-19-6256
03.08.26GLYPH PlayTimeGLYPH14.0019lost-19-6237
02.08.26Vici Gaming OGOG13.0020lost-20-6218
01.08.26NS Team VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2020lost-20-6198
31.07.26BETBOOM Team Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0014lost-14-6178
31.07.26Yakult Brothers Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0014lost-14-6164
31.07.26Amaru Gaming Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0015lost-15-6150
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0015lost-15-6135
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0015lost-15-6120
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0016lost-16-6104
29.07.26Rostik Team TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0016lost-16-6089
28.07.26NS Team TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0016lost-16-6073
27.07.26NS Team Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6017lost-17-6056
20.07.26Zero Tenacity Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6017lost-17-6040
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0017lost-17-6023
12.07.26REKONIX Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.9018lost-18-6005
11.07.26PlayTime Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8018lost-18-5988
10.07.26REKONIX Team SpiritREKONIX15.0018lost-18-5969
08.07.26Team Yandex Inner CircleInner Circle15.0019lost-19-5951
08.07.26GamerLegion Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0019lost-19-5932
08.07.26Poor Rangers BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0020lost-20-5913
07.07.26Inner Circle 1w TeamInner Circle15.0020lost-20-5893
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.8014lost-14-5873
28.06.26By_Owl Team ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.0014lost-14-5860
27.06.26Natus Vincere L1ga TeamNatus Vincere2.2514lost-14-5846
25.06.26Team Spirit Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.0014lost-14-5832
24.06.26Recrent Team Stray TeamRecrent Team10.0015lost-15-5817
24.06.26Dread Team DangerLyoha TeamDangerLyoha Team3.2015lost-15-5803
21.06.26InterActive Philippines Mentality MonsterInterActive Philippines10.0015lost-15-5788
21.06.26Grind Back Carstensz EsportsCarstensz Esports13.0016lost-16-5772
19.06.26summer bear Power Rangerssummer bear13.0016lost-16-5757
17.06.26Power Rangers Flame EsportsFlame Esports12.0016lost-16-5741
16.06.26Flame Esports Team Spirit AcademyFlame Esports4.2017lost-17-5724
13.06.26Estar Backs Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0017lost-17-5708
11.06.26Phenomenon NA Last HopePhenomenon2.9016won+31-5691
11.06.26Team Nemesis Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0017lost-17-5722
10.06.26L1ga Team Zero TenacityZero Tenacity11.0017lost-17-5705
07.06.26BETBOOM Team LGD GamingBETBOOM Team2.2517lost-17-5688
06.06.26Ramzes Club TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club3.1018lost-18-5671
05.06.26LGD Gaming Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.0018lost-18-5653
05.06.26Execration REKONIXExecration13.0018lost-18-5635
04.06.26Carstensz Esports REKONIXCarstensz Esports12.0019lost-19-5617
02.06.26L1ga Team Poor RangersL1ga Team13.0019lost-19-5598
02.06.26LGD Gaming Natus VincereNatus Vincere13.0020lost-20-5579
01.06.26Ramzes Club TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club6.6020lost-20-5559
30.05.26Team Spirit OGOG15.0012lost-12-5539
29.05.26Team Yandex LGD GamingTeam Yandex2.7013lost-13-5527
28.05.26NS Club Ramzes ClubNS Club5.3013lost-13-5514
27.05.26LGD Gaming Team LiquidLGD Gaming4.5013lost-13-5501
27.05.26OG Team YandexOG15.0013lost-13-5488
26.05.26PARIVISION Team YandexPARIVISION15.0014lost-14-5474
26.05.26Team Falcons LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0014lost-14-5461
26.05.26Team Liquid Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0014lost-14-5447
26.05.26GLYPH LGD GamingGLYPH2.3515lost-15-5432
24.05.26Recrent Team Solo TeamRecrent Team12.0015lost-15-5418
23.05.26Miposhka Team Stray TeamMiposhka Team10.0015lost-15-5403
22.05.26Aurora Gaming Tundra EsportsTundra Esports11.0015lost-15-5388
17.05.26Team Falcons GamerLegionGamerLegion8.5016lost-16-5372
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.