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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1005u
ROI
-43.5%
win rate
28%
bets
32
drawdown
114.4%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-209u
period 2top-up-526u
period 1top-up-271u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3228%-109-35.2%12.9%Select
Flat (10 units)3228%-109-34.2%13.1%Select
2% of bankroll3228%-216-36.2%25.6%Select
5% of bankroll3228%-528-39.2%61.5%Select
10% of bankroll3228%-1005-43.5%114.4%Selected
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 32, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1365won+139-5
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4372lost-72-144
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1181lost-81-72
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1289lost-899
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1499lost-9998
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.13110lost-110198
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.08123lost-123308
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05111won+117431
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1999won+118314
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0390won+93196
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.06100lost-100103
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0743won+46203
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7536won+64158
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4641lost-4194
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4335won+51134
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2139lost-3984
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5444lost-44123
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1049lost-49167
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3543won+58215
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1848lost-48158
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3753lost-53205
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0648won+51258
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2253lost-53207
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4159lost-59260
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2166lost-66319
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2573lost-73385
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0281lost-81458
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2490lost-90539
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.06100lost-100629
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0281lost-81729
29.08.26summer bear – Team Lynxsummer bear2.0390lost-90810
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.02100lost-100900
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.