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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-14183u
ROI
-87.6%
win rate
4%
bets
1237
drawdown
1418.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-394u
period 24top-up-493u
period 23top-up-593u
period 22top-up-674u
period 21top-up-672u
period 20top-up-554u
period 19top-up-602u
period 18top-up-684u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll12374%-8646-87.2%864.6%Select
Flat (10 units)12374%-10731-86.8%1073.1%Select
2% of bankroll12374%-14183-87.6%1418.3%Selected
5% of bankroll12374%-21580-89%2158%Select
Quarter Kelly12013%-23851-95.1%2385.1%Select
10% of bankroll12374%-24239-90.7%2423.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1237, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0012lost-12-13183
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0013lost-13-13171
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.0013lost-13-13158
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0013lost-13-13145
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0013lost-13-13132
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.3014lost-14-13119
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0014lost-14-13105
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0014lost-14-13091
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0015lost-15-13077
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0015lost-15-13062
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.0015lost-15-13048
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0015lost-15-13033
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0016lost-16-13017
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0016lost-16-13001
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPLevel UP2.2516won+20-12985
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0016lost-16-13005
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0016lost-16-12989
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0017lost-17-12972
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.6017lost-17-12956
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.3017lost-17-12939
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0018lost-18-12921
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0018lost-18-12904
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0018lost-18-12886
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0019lost-19-12867
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2019lost-19-12848
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0020lost-20-12829
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0020lost-20-12810
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-12790
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0011lost-11-12779
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.5011lost-11-12769
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.0011lost-11-12758
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0011lost-11-12747
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0011lost-11-12736
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0012lost-12-12724
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0012lost-12-12713
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0012lost-12-12701
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0012lost-12-12688
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.0013lost-13-12676
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.0013lost-13-12663
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0013lost-13-12650
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6013lost-13-12637
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5014lost-14-12624
21.07.26Team Lynx – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4013won+19-12610
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0014lost-14-12629
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6014lost-14-12615
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0014lost-14-12601
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.0014lost-14-12587
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0015lost-15-12573
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0015lost-15-12558
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0015lost-15-12543
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0016lost-16-12527
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.0016lost-16-12512
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.9016lost-16-12496
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8017lost-17-12479
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0017lost-17-12463
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0017lost-17-12446
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0018lost-18-12428
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0018lost-18-12411
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0018lost-18-12393
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0019lost-19-12374
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.