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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-256u
ROI
-44.1%
win rate
26%
bets
31
drawdown
25.6%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-74u
period 2top-up-123u
period 1top-up-59u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3126%-129-43.2%12.9%Select
Flat (10 units)3126%-131-42.2%13.1%Select
2% of bankroll3126%-256-44.1%25.6%Selected
5% of bankroll3126%-615-46.9%61.5%Select
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
10% of bankroll3126%-1144-50.7%114.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 31, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4319lost-19744
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1119lost-19763
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1220lost-20783
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1420lost-20802
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1320lost-20822
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0821lost-21843
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0520won+22864
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1920won+24842
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0320won+20818
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0620lost-20798
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0717won+18818
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7517won+29800
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4617lost-17771
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4316won+24788
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2117lost-17764
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5417lost-17781
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1017lost-17798
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1818lost-18816
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3517won+23833
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3718lost-18810
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0617won+18828
21.09.26Solo Team – Daxak TeamSolo Team2.1118lost-18809
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2218lost-18827
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4118lost-18845
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2119lost-19864
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2519lost-19882
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0220lost-20902
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0620lost-20921
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0219lost-19941
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4720lost-20960
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0220lost-20980
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.