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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1618u
ROI
-42.1%
win rate
29%
bets
58
drawdown
161.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-569u
period 2top-up-640u
period 1top-up-410u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll5829%-201-36.1%20.1%Select
Flat (10 units)5829%-205-35.4%20.5%Select
2% of bankroll5829%-394-36.9%39.4%Select
Martingale5829%-456-11.4%66.1%Select
5% of bankroll5829%-920-39%92%Select
10% of bankroll5829%-1618-42.1%161.8%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 58, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Yellow Submarine – Power RangersPower Rangers2.0948lost-48-618
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2853lost-53-570
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1159lost-59-517
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1266lost-66-458
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1473lost-73-392
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1381lost-81-319
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1990lost-90-238
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2081won+96-148
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0889lost-89-244
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0399lost-99-154
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.23110lost-110-55
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05100won+10555
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1989won+106-50
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0381won+83-156
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0590lost-90-239
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.03100lost-100-149
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0733won+35-49
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6836lost-36-84
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7531won+54-48
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0534lost-34-102
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1338lost-38-68
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2342lost-42-30
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0538won+4013
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4642lost-42-28
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0139won+3915
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4334won+48-24
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2137lost-37-72
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5442lost-42-35
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4736won+537
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1040lost-40-47
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0145lost-45-6
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0650lost-5039
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3544won+5988
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1849lost-4929
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.0044won+4478
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3749lost-4933
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0644won+4783
21.09.26Solo Team – Daxak TeamSolo Team2.1149lost-4935
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2255lost-5585
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4161lost-61140
20.09.26Team Yandex – Team NemesisTeam Yandex2.1755won+64201
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2161lost-61137
19.09.26Team Synapse – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.1767lost-67197
19.09.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.1075lost-75265
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2583lost-83340
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0293lost-93423
13.09.26Dawn Bulls – Klim Sani4Dawn Bulls2.2982won+105515
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2491lost-91410
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxTeam Lynx2.12101lost-101501
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.06112lost-112602
06.09.26Level UP – 4ikibamboni4ikibamboni2.03102won+105715
06.09.26Klim Sani4 – Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+42.3290won+119609
03.09.26Zero Tenacity – Klim Sani4Zero Tenacity2.09100lost-100490
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0266lost-66590
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4773lost-73656
25.08.26Inner Circle – FTSFTS2.1081lost-81729
25.08.26FTS – PuckChampFTS2.0290lost-90810
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.02100lost-100900
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.