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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-377u
ROI
-35.5%
win rate
30%
bets
57
drawdown
37.7%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-143u
period 2top-up-138u
period 1top-up-96u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll5730%-192-34.9%19.2%Select
Flat (10 units)5730%-195-34.2%19.5%Select
2% of bankroll5730%-377-35.5%37.7%Selected
Martingale5730%-434-10.7%65.2%Select
5% of bankroll5730%-887-37.3%88.7%Select
10% of bankroll5730%-1578-40.1%157.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 57, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8917lost-17623
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4318lost-18641
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1118lost-18659
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1219lost-19677
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1419lost-19695
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1319lost-19714
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1920lost-20734
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2019won+23753
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0820lost-20730
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0320lost-20750
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2320lost-20770
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0520won+21791
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1920won+23770
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0319won+20746
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0620lost-20726
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0320lost-20746
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0717won+18766
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6817lost-17748
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7517won+29765
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0517lost-17736
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1317lost-17753
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2318lost-18770
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0517won+18788
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4618lost-18770
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0117won+18787
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4317won+24770
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2117lost-17746
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5418lost-18763
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4717won+25781
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1017lost-17756
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0118lost-18773
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0618lost-18791
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1818lost-18809
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3518won+24827
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.0018won+18803
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3718lost-18785
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0618won+19803
21.09.26Solo Team – Daxak TeamSolo Team2.1118lost-18785
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2218lost-18803
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4119lost-19821
20.09.26Team Yandex – Team NemesisTeam Yandex2.1718won+21840
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2119lost-19818
19.09.26Team Synapse – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.1719lost-19837
19.09.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.1019lost-19856
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2520lost-20875
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0220lost-20895
13.09.26Dawn Bulls – Klim Sani4Dawn Bulls2.2920won+25915
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxTeam Lynx2.1220lost-20890
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0621lost-21910
06.09.26Level UP – 4ikibamboni4ikibamboni2.0320won+21931
06.09.26Klim Sani4 – Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+42.3220won+26910
03.09.26Zero Tenacity – Klim Sani4Zero Tenacity2.0920lost-20884
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0218lost-18904
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4719lost-19922
25.08.26Inner Circle – FTSFTS2.1019lost-19941
25.08.26FTS – PuckChampFTS2.0220lost-20960
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0220lost-20980
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.