Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit

-887u

ROI

-37.3%

win rate

30%

bets

drawdown

88.7%

payouts

Balance by period

Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.

working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up

Strategy rules

gps_fixed

What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments

Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt

Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights

Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups

period 3top-up-328u

period 2top-up-332u

period 1top-up-226u

Stake sizes

Stake	Bets	Hit	Profit	ROI	Drawdown	Pick
1% of bankroll	57	30%	-192	-34.9%	19.2%	Select
Flat (10 units)	57	30%	-195	-34.2%	19.5%	Select
2% of bankroll	57	30%	-377	-35.5%	37.7%	Select
Martingale	57	30%	-434	-10.7%	65.2%	Select
5% of bankroll	57	30%	-887	-37.3%	88.7%	Selected
10% of bankroll	57	30%	-1578	-40.1%	157.8%	Select
Quarter Kelly	0	0%	+0	+0%	0%	Select

Bet-by-bet match log

Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 57, showing the last 60.

All Random 50%Random 25%Random 10%

Date	Match	Bet on	Odds	Stake	Result	±Bank	Bank
14.10.26	Team Lynx – PuckChamp	PuckChamp	2.89	35	lost	-35	113
13.10.26	Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit Academy	Team Spirit Academy	2.43	37	lost	-37	149
12.10.26	The WarriorsQ – Dawn Bulls	The WarriorsQ	2.11	39	lost	-39	186
11.10.26	Team Spirit – PARIVISION	PARIVISION	2.12	41	lost	-41	225
09.10.26	Team Spirit – Aurora Gaming	Aurora Gaming	2.14	43	lost	-43	266
08.10.26	Team Yandex – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.13	46	lost	-46	310
07.10.26	MOUZ – CyberHero	MOUZ	2.19	48	lost	-48	355
06.10.26	Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine	Team Synapse	2.20	45	won	+54	403
06.10.26	HULIGANI – CyberHero	HULIGANI	2.08	48	lost	-48	349
05.10.26	MOUZ – Nemiga Gaming	Nemiga Gaming	2.03	50	lost	-50	397
05.10.26	Yellow Submarine – CyberHero	CyberHero	2.23	53	lost	-53	447
03.10.26	Team Spirit – Team Yandex	Team Spirit	2.05	50	won	+53	500
03.10.26	Daxak Team – Cake Team	Cake Team	2.19	47	won	+56	447
02.10.26	1w Team – Team Nemesis	1w Team	2.03	45	won	+46	391
01.10.26	Aurora Gaming – Team Liquid	Team Liquid	2.06	48	lost	-48	344
01.10.26	MOUZ – OG	MOUZ	2.03	50	lost	-50	392
30.09.26	PARIVISION – LGD Gaming	PARIVISION	2.07	32	won	+34	442
30.09.26	Team Yandex – MOUZ	MOUZ	2.68	33	lost	-33	408
29.09.26	1w Team – Natus Vincere	1w Team	2.75	31	won	+54	441
29.09.26	Team Spirit – Team Nemesis	Team Nemesis	2.05	32	lost	-32	388
27.09.26	YBN Team – Cake Team	YBN Team	2.13	34	lost	-34	420
27.09.26	Daxak Team – Rostik Team	Rostik Team	2.23	36	lost	-36	454
27.09.26	Stray Team – YBN Team	YBN Team	2.05	34	won	+36	490
27.09.26	LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere	LGD Gaming	2.46	36	lost	-36	454
25.09.26	Xtreme Gaming – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.01	34	won	+34	490
25.09.26	Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine	Team Synapse	2.43	32	won	+46	455
25.09.26	Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere	Team Nemesis	2.21	33	lost	-33	410
24.09.26	Daxak Team – gpK~ Team	gpK~ Team	2.54	35	lost	-35	443
24.09.26	Natus Vincere – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.47	33	won	+48	478
24.09.26	YBN Team – Rostik Team	YBN Team	2.10	35	lost	-35	430
23.09.26	Stray Team – NS Team	NS Team	2.01	36	lost	-36	465
23.09.26	Team Nemesis – Conventus Stellarum	Conventus Stellarum	2.06	38	lost	-38	501
22.09.26	avice Team – Daxak Team	avice Team	2.18	40	lost	-40	539
22.09.26	Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming	Nemiga Gaming	2.35	38	won	+51	580
22.09.26	MOUZ – Hokori	MOUZ	2.00	36	won	+36	529
22.09.26	Natus Vincere – 1w Team	1w Team	2.37	38	lost	-38	493
22.09.26	Team Nemesis – GamerLegion	GamerLegion	2.06	36	won	+38	531
21.09.26	Solo Team – Daxak Team	Solo Team	2.11	38	lost	-38	492
21.09.26	Team Nemesis – MOUZ	MOUZ	2.22	40	lost	-40	530
21.09.26	Nemiga Gaming – Kalmychata	Nemiga Gaming	2.41	42	lost	-42	570
20.09.26	Team Yandex – Team Nemesis	Team Yandex	2.17	40	won	+46	612
20.09.26	Inner Circle – Yellow Submarine	Inner Circle	2.21	42	lost	-42	565
19.09.26	Team Synapse – Nemiga Gaming	Nemiga Gaming	2.17	44	lost	-44	607
19.09.26	1w Team – Team Nemesis	1w Team	2.10	46	lost	-46	651
17.09.26	Nemiga Gaming – Team Lynx	Nemiga Gaming	2.25	49	lost	-49	697
13.09.26	Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog Club	Recrent Team	2.02	51	lost	-51	746
13.09.26	Dawn Bulls – Klim Sani4	Dawn Bulls	2.29	48	won	+62	797
09.09.26	Klim Sani4 – Team Lynx	Team Lynx	2.12	51	lost	-51	735
09.09.26	Klim Sani4 – Inner Circle	Inner Circle	2.06	53	lost	-53	786
06.09.26	Level UP – 4ikibamboni	4ikibamboni	2.03	51	won	+52	839
06.09.26	Klim Sani4 – Pipsqueak+4	Pipsqueak+4	2.32	48	won	+63	787
03.09.26	Zero Tenacity – Klim Sani4	Zero Tenacity	2.09	50	lost	-50	724
29.08.26	Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit Academy	Team Spirit Academy	2.02	41	lost	-41	774
29.08.26	DYNASTY – Nemiga Gaming	Nemiga Gaming	2.47	43	lost	-43	815
25.08.26	Inner Circle – FTS	FTS	2.10	45	lost	-45	857
25.08.26	FTS – PuckChamp	FTS	2.02	48	lost	-48	902
23.08.26	PARIVISION – Team Spirit	PARIVISION	2.02	50	lost	-50	950

Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.

This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓