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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1335u
ROI
-32.9%
win rate
32%
bets
118
drawdown
133.5%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-543u
period 2top-up-564u
period 1top-up-228u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale11832%+714+10.6%50%Select
1% of bankroll11832%-325-29.7%32.5%Select
Flat (10 units)11832%-340-28.8%34%Select
2% of bankroll11832%-619-30.5%61.9%Select
5% of bankroll11832%-1335-32.9%133.5%Select
10% of bankroll11832%-2078-36%207.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 118, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2824lost-24-335
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8925lost-25-311
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4527lost-27-286
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5228lost-28-259
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4330lost-30-231
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1327won+57-202
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4328lost-28-259
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0327won+28-230
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0228lost-28-258
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2130lost-30-230
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1131lost-31-200
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0133lost-33-169
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5530won+47-136
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2232lost-32-183
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1234lost-34-151
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0132won+33-118
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1434lost-34-150
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3236lost-36-116
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1337lost-37-81
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1939lost-39-43
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2237won+45-4
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1939lost-39-49
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2037won+44-10
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3639lost-39-54
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0841lost-41-16
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0343lost-4325
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2345lost-4568
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1148lost-48114
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0545won+48161
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1943won+51114
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0441won+4263
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0343lost-4321
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0341won+4264
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0543lost-4322
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0645lost-4565
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.3948lost-48110
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0350lost-50157
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0721won+22207
30.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.4619won+28185
30.09.26Team Spirit – 1w Team1w Team2.2020lost-20157
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6821lost-21177
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7520won+34199
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0521lost-21164
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1322lost-22185
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2323lost-23207
27.09.26Team Yandex – Natus VincereTeam Yandex2.2522won+27230
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0520won+22203
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4622lost-22181
26.09.26Natus Vincere – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming2.2223lost-23203
26.09.26Daxak Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.5924lost-24225
26.09.26Aurora Gaming – Natus VincereAurora Gaming2.3125lost-25249
25.09.26YBN Team – TpaBoMaH TeamYBN Team2.1724won+28274
25.09.26Stray Team – Rostik TeamStray Team2.1822won+26247
25.09.26Cake Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.1024lost-24220
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0122won+23244
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4321won+30221
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2122lost-22191
24.09.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team2.3423lost-23213
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5424lost-24236
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4723won+33261
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.