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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1578u
ROI
-40.1%
win rate
30%
bets
57
drawdown
157.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-569u
period 2top-up-600u
period 1top-up-410u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll5730%-192-34.9%19.2%Selected
Flat (10 units)5730%-195-34.2%19.5%Select
2% of bankroll5730%-377-35.5%37.7%Select
Martingale5730%-434-10.7%65.2%Select
5% of bankroll5730%-887-37.3%88.7%Select
10% of bankroll5730%-1578-40.1%157.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 57, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8948lost-48-578
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4353lost-53-530
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1159lost-59-477
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1266lost-66-418
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1473lost-73-352
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1381lost-81-279
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1990lost-90-198
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2081won+96-108
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0889lost-89-204
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0399lost-99-114
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.23110lost-110-15
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05100won+10595
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1989won+106-10
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0381won+83-116
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0690lost-90-199
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.03100lost-100-109
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0736won+39-9
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6840lost-40-48
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7534won+60-8
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0538lost-38-68
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1342lost-42-30
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2347lost-4713
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0542won+4560
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4647lost-4715
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0143won+4362
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4337won+5419
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2142lost-42-35
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5446lost-467
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4740won+5953
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1045lost-45-6
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0150lost-5039
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0655lost-5588
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1861lost-61144
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3554won+73205
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.0049won+49132
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3755lost-5583
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0649won+52137
21.09.26Solo Team – Daxak TeamSolo Team2.1155lost-5585
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2261lost-61140
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4168lost-68201
20.09.26Team Yandex – Team NemesisTeam Yandex2.1761won+71269
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2167lost-67197
19.09.26Team Synapse – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.1775lost-75265
19.09.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.1083lost-83340
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2593lost-93423
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.02103lost-103515
13.09.26Dawn Bulls – Klim Sani4Dawn Bulls2.2991won+117618
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxTeam Lynx2.12101lost-101501
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.06112lost-112602
06.09.26Level UP – 4ikibamboni4ikibamboni2.03102won+105715
06.09.26Klim Sani4 – Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+42.3290won+119609
03.09.26Zero Tenacity – Klim Sani4Zero Tenacity2.09100lost-100490
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0266lost-66590
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4773lost-73656
25.08.26Inner Circle – FTSFTS2.1081lost-81729
25.08.26FTS – PuckChampFTS2.0290lost-90810
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.02100lost-100900
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.