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Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

profit
-8481u
ROI
-92.5%
win rate
2%
bets
1138
drawdown
848.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-230u
period 24top-up-289u
period 23top-up-339u
period 22top-up-400u
period 21top-up-424u
period 20top-up-311u
period 19top-up-379u
period 18top-up-416u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll11382%-8481-92.5%848.1%Select
Flat (10 units)11382%-10463-91.9%1046.3%Select
2% of bankroll11382%-13981-93%1398.1%Select
5% of bankroll11382%-21464-94.5%2146.4%Select
Quarter Kelly11332%-23817-96.4%2381.7%Select
10% of bankroll11382%-24222-96%2422.2%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1138, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.008lost-8-7481
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.008lost-8-7473
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.008lost-8-7465
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.008lost-8-7458
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.008lost-8-7450
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.308lost-8-7441
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.008lost-8-7433
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.008lost-8-7425
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.008lost-8-7417
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.009lost-9-7408
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.009lost-9-7400
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.009lost-9-7391
08.08.26Power Rangers – Team SyntaxTeam Syntax12.009lost-9-7382
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.009lost-9-7374
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.009lost-9-7365
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.009lost-9-7356
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.009lost-9-7347
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.609lost-9-7338
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.309lost-9-7328
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.009lost-9-7319
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0010lost-10-7310
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-7300
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0010lost-10-7291
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2010lost-10-7281
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0010lost-10-7271
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0010lost-10-7261
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.007lost-7-7251
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.007lost-7-7244
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.507lost-7-7237
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.007lost-7-7229
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.007lost-7-7222
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.008lost-8-7215
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.008lost-8-7207
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.008lost-8-7199
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.008lost-8-7192
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.008lost-8-7184
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.008lost-8-7176
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.008lost-8-7168
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.008lost-8-7160
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.608lost-8-7152
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.508lost-8-7144
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.008lost-8-7136
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.608lost-8-7127
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.009lost-9-7119
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.009lost-9-7110
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.009lost-9-7102
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.009lost-9-7093
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.009lost-9-7084
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.009lost-9-7075
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.009lost-9-7066
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.809lost-9-7057
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.009lost-9-7048
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.009lost-9-7039
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.009lost-9-7030
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-7020
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0010lost-10-7011
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-7001
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-6991
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-6982
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamALOHADANCE Team10.0010lost-10-6972
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.