Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-1330u
ROI
-87.2%
win rate
2%
bets
153
drawdown
133%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 153 | 2% | -1330 | -87.2% | 133% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 4538 | 2% | -19694 | -92.7% | 1969.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 4538 | 2% | -23478 | -93.2% | 2347.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 4538 | 2% | -24798 | -94.2% | 2479.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 4519 | 2% | -24966 | -94.1% | 2496.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 4538 | 2% | -24969 | -93.8% | 2496.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 153, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.09.24 | Team N1ntendo – L1ga Team | Team N1ntendo | 9.00 | 5 | lost | -5 | -330 |
| 25.09.24 | Passion UA – Dragon Esports | Passion UA | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -325 |
| 25.09.24 | OG – MOUZ | OG | 5.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -315 |
| 25.09.24 | L1ga Team – Five Beavers | L1ga Team | 5.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -305 |
| 25.09.24 | One Move – Team N1ntendo | Team N1ntendo | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -295 |
| 25.09.24 | Talon Esports – Kukuys | Kukuys | 3.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -285 |
| 25.09.24 | 1w Team – Hydra | Hydra | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -275 |
| 25.09.24 | DMS – Night Pulse | DMS | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -265 |
| 25.09.24 | Team Mantaps – Myth Avenue Gaming | Myth Avenue Gaming | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -255 |
| 25.09.24 | Team Zero – Azure Ray | Team Zero | 3.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -245 |
| 25.09.24 | Team Essence – PlsReportTimber | PlsReportTimber | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -235 |
| 25.09.24 | Bruv123 – Kukuys | Bruv123 | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -225 |
| 25.09.24 | Invictus Gaming – Evil Rabbit | Evil Rabbit | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -215 |
| 25.09.24 | nouns – Looking for Org | Looking for Org | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -205 |
| 25.09.24 | beastcoast – Apex Genesis | beastcoast | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -195 |
| 25.09.24 | Shopify Rebellion – Cuyes Esports | Cuyes Esports | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -185 |
| 24.09.24 | nouns – beastcoast | beastcoast | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -175 |
| 24.09.24 | AVULUS – MOUZ | AVULUS | 5.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | -165 |
| 24.09.24 | Shopify Rebellion – Looking for Org | Shopify Rebellion | 3.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -155 |
| 24.09.24 | OG – Nigma Galaxy | OG | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -145 |
| 24.09.24 | MOUZ – Nightshade | Nightshade | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -135 |
| 24.09.24 | AVULUS – Level UP | Level UP | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -125 |
| 24.09.24 | Team Hryvnia – Palianytsia | Team Hryvnia | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -115 |
| 24.09.24 | Yangon Galacticos – Kukuys | Yangon Galacticos | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -105 |
| 24.09.24 | Talon Esports – Bruv123 | Bruv123 | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -95 |
| 24.09.24 | OG – MOUZ | MOUZ | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -85 |
| 24.09.24 | Nigma Galaxy – AVULUS | AVULUS | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -75 |
| 24.09.24 | Kukuys – Execration | Execration | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -65 |
| 24.09.24 | BOOM Esports – Yangon Galacticos | BOOM Esports | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -55 |
| 24.09.24 | Bruv123 – BOOM Esports | BOOM Esports | 6.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -45 |
| 24.09.24 | Talon Esports – Kukuys | Kukuys | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -35 |
| 24.09.24 | Gods of Hell – Cuyes Esports | Gods of Hell | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -25 |
| 24.09.24 | ChatoMetraca – Apex Genesis | ChatoMetraca | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -15 |
| 23.09.24 | Shopify Rebellion – ChatoMetraca | ChatoMetraca | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -5 |
| 23.09.24 | Looking for Org – Apex Genesis | Apex Genesis | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 5 |
| 23.09.24 | Night Pulse – Team Hryvnia | Team Hryvnia | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 15 |
| 23.09.24 | nouns – Gods of Hell | Gods of Hell | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 25 |
| 23.09.24 | beastcoast – Cuyes Esports | Cuyes Esports | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 35 |
| 23.09.24 | Nightshade – Just Team | Just Team | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 45 |
| 23.09.24 | Level UP – Dragon Esports | Dragon Esports | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 55 |
| 23.09.24 | OG – Level UP | Level UP | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 65 |
| 23.09.24 | Nigma Galaxy – Nightshade | Nightshade | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 75 |
| 23.09.24 | Yangon Galacticos – Team Essence | Team Essence | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 85 |
| 23.09.24 | MOUZ – Dragon Esports | Dragon Esports | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 95 |
| 23.09.24 | AVULUS – Just Team | Just Team | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 105 |
| 23.09.24 | Execration – Bruv123 | Execration | 3.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 115 |
| 23.09.24 | Team Essence – Kukuys | Team Essence | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 125 |
| 23.09.24 | Talon Esports – Yangon Galacticos | Yangon Galacticos | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 135 |
| 23.09.24 | Apex Genesis – Free Stack | Free Stack | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 145 |
| 22.09.24 | TopTab – Dragon Esports | TopTab | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 155 |
| 22.09.24 | Team Hryvnia – Bushido | Team Hryvnia | 4.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 165 |
| 22.09.24 | NoLimit – Hydra | NoLimit | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 175 |
| 22.09.24 | MANTA Esports – Yangon Galacticos | MANTA Esports | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 185 |
| 22.09.24 | Evil Rabbit – Spiky Gaming | Spiky Gaming | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 195 |
| 22.09.24 | the goal of all life is death – Evil Rabbit | the goal of all life is death | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 205 |
| 21.09.24 | Dragon Esports – Night Pulse | Dragon Esports | 8.00 | 10 | won | +70 | 215 |
| 21.09.24 | Bushido – Palianytsia | Bushido | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 145 |
| 21.09.24 | ChatoMetraca – Pacific esports | Pacific esports | 4.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 155 |
| 21.09.24 | Fusion – Cuyes Esports | Fusion | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 165 |
| 20.09.24 | HAVU Gaming – One Move | HAVU Gaming | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 175 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.