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Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

profit
-10508u
ROI
-92.3%
win rate
2%
bets
1138
drawdown
1050.8%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-260u
period 24top-up-340u
period 23top-up-410u
period 22top-up-508u
period 21top-up-548u
period 20top-up-370u
period 19top-up-474u
period 18top-up-534u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll11382%-8507-92.8%850.7%Select
Flat (10 units)11382%-10508-92.3%1050.8%Selected
2% of bankroll11382%-14009-93.3%1400.9%Select
5% of bankroll11382%-21476-94.6%2147.6%Select
Quarter Kelly11332%-23825-96.4%2382.5%Select
10% of bankroll11382%-24223-96%2422.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1138, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-9508
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0010lost-10-9498
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.0010lost-10-9488
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0010lost-10-9478
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0010lost-10-9468
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.3010lost-10-9458
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9448
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-9438
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-9428
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-9418
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.0010lost-10-9408
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0010lost-10-9398
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0010lost-10-9388
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0010lost-10-9378
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0010lost-10-9368
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0010lost-10-9358
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-9348
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.6010lost-10-9338
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.3010lost-10-9328
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-9318
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0010lost-10-9308
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-9298
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0010lost-10-9288
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2010lost-10-9278
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0010lost-10-9268
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0010lost-10-9258
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-9248
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0010lost-10-9238
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.5010lost-10-9228
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.0010lost-10-9218
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0010lost-10-9208
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0010lost-10-9198
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9188
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0010lost-10-9178
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0010lost-10-9168
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0010lost-10-9158
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-9148
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.0010lost-10-9138
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-9128
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6010lost-10-9118
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5010lost-10-9108
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0010lost-10-9098
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6010lost-10-9088
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0010lost-10-9078
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9068
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0010lost-10-9058
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9048
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0010lost-10-9038
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0010lost-10-9028
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.0010lost-10-9018
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-9008
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-8998
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0010lost-10-8988
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-8978
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-8968
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0010lost-10-8958
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-8948
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-8938
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-8928
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamALOHADANCE Team10.0010lost-10-8918
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.