Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-13992u
ROI
-91.8%
win rate
2%
bets
2316
drawdown
1399.2%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-395u
period 24top-up-368u
period 23top-up-511u
period 22top-up-718u
period 21top-up-611u
period 20top-up-586u
period 19top-up-600u
period 18top-up-702u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 481 | 2% | -4327 | -90.1% | 432.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2316 | 2% | -13992 | -91.8% | 1399.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2316 | 2% | -19838 | -92% | 1983.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2316 | 2% | -24168 | -92.5% | 2416.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 2304 | 2% | -24810 | -92.6% | 2481% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2316 | 2% | -24861 | -92.3% | 2486.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2316, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12992 |
| 20.08.26 | PARIVISION – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12986 |
| 16.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Yandex | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12980 |
| 15.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | OG | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12974 |
| 15.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 11.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12967 |
| 15.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 14.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12961 |
| 15.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – Aurora Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12955 |
| 15.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Liquid | 1w Team | 5.30 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12948 |
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12942 |
| 15.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12935 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12928 |
| 14.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Nigma Galaxy | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12922 |
| 14.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegion | Xtreme Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12915 |
| 13.08.26 | OG – Nigma Galaxy | OG | 5.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12908 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12901 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12894 |
| 12.08.26 | Level UP – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 4.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12887 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12880 |
| 11.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Zero Tenacity | Yellow Submarine | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12872 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – MOUZ | MOUZ | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12865 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Natus Vincere | Rune Eaters | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12858 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – No Hoodwink | Rune Eaters Arise | 12.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12850 |
| 08.08.26 | Power Rangers – Team Syntax | Team Syntax | 12.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12843 |
| 07.08.26 | Team Jenz – Nemiga Gaming | Team Jenz | 14.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12835 |
| 07.08.26 | Zero Tenacity – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12827 |
| 06.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Power Rangers | Ilbirs eSports | 6.60 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12819 |
| 05.08.26 | Team Liquid – 1w Team | 1w Team | 15.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12812 |
| 05.08.26 | PlayTime – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 15.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12804 |
| 05.08.26 | 1w Team – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12796 |
| 04.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Falcons | Team Liquid | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12788 |
| 04.08.26 | Yakult Brothers – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 12.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12779 |
| 04.08.26 | PlayTime – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12771 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 10.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12763 |
| 03.08.26 | Vici Gaming – Yakult Brothers | Vici Gaming | 3.60 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12754 |
| 03.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12746 |
| 03.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 3.30 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12737 |
| 03.08.26 | LGD Gaming – 1w Team | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12729 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | GLYPH | 14.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12720 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Liquid – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 5.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12711 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | OG | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12702 |
| 02.08.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12693 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Falcons – 1w Team | 1w Team | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12684 |
| 02.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Team Resilience | Yellow Submarine | 14.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12675 |
| 01.08.26 | Stray Team – TpaBoMaH Team | Stray Team | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12665 |
| 01.08.26 | GLYPH – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 6.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12656 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | VooDooSh Team | 4.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12646 |
| 01.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12637 |
| 01.08.26 | Daxak Team – Team avice | Daxak Team | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12627 |
| 01.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12617 |
| 01.08.26 | Midas Club – Team Resilience | Midas Club | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12607 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | BETBOOM Team | 11.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12597 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Yakult Brothers | 14.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12591 |
| 31.07.26 | Enjoy Boys – GLYPH | Enjoy Boys | 14.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12584 |
| 31.07.26 | L1ga Team – REKONIX | L1ga Team | 8.50 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12578 |
| 31.07.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 7.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12571 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 11.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12565 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 3.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12558 |
| 30.07.26 | Team Falcons – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12551 |
| 30.07.26 | Stray Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 12.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12544 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 13.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12537 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.