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Always the underdog

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-95u
ROI
-13.4%
win rate
42%
bets
36
drawdown
17.4%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+61u
period 2top-up-131u
period 1top-up-25u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3642%-48-13.5%8.9%Select
Flat (10 units)3642%-49-13.6%9.1%Select
2% of bankroll3642%-95-13.4%17.4%Select
5% of bankroll3642%-224-13%40.6%Select
10% of bankroll3642%-410-12.4%72.2%Select
Martingale2330%-987-67.1%98.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 36, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1320won+43905
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9020won+18862
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9520lost-20844
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9521lost-21864
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1221lost-21885
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9121won+19907
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1321lost-21888
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0822lost-22909
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0521won+22931
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1921won+25908
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0320won+21884
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9220won+18863
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0717won+18844
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9517lost-17826
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4618lost-18843
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9218lost-18861
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2118lost-18879
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9619lost-19898
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9719lost-19917
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1820lost-20936
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3519won+26955
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9519won+18930
21.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9018won+17912
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2119lost-19895
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8919lost-19914
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8920lost-20933
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9519won+18953
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9020lost-20934
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9520lost-20954
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9620lost-20974
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9720won+19994
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8919won+17975
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0220lost-20958
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4720lost-20977
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8920won+17997
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0220lost-20980
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.