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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1365u
ROI
-34.5%
win rate
32%
bets
68
drawdown
145.5%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-313u
period 2top-up-865u
period 1top-up-187u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll6832%-209-32.9%23.5%Select
Flat (10 units)6832%-221-32.4%24.8%Select
2% of bankroll6832%-395-33.2%44.2%Select
5% of bankroll6832%-848-34%93.2%Select
Martingale2030%-968-73.9%96.9%Select
10% of bankroll6832%-1365-34.5%145.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 68, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1357won+121-365
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4363lost-63-485
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9570lost-70-422
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9578lost-78-353
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1186lost-86-275
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1296lost-96-189
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9188won+80-93
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1498lost-98-172
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.13109lost-109-75
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.08121lost-12134
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05109won+115155
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1998won+11640
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.92108lost-108-76
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0398won+10132
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9290won+83-69
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.06100lost-100-152
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0712won+13-52
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8911won+10-65
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7510won+17-75
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9511lost-11-91
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4612lost-12-81
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9213lost-13-69
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4311won+16-56
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9613lost-13-72
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2114lost-14-60
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9016lost-16-45
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9617lost-17-30
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9719lost-19-12
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5422lost-227
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9924lost-2429
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1027lost-2753
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3523won+3279
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1826lost-2648
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3729lost-2974
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0626won+28103
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9524won+2375
21.09.26Two Move – Zero TenacityTwo Move1.9022won+2052
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2224lost-2432
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4127lost-2757
21.09.26Aurora Gaming – Team CobraTeam Cobra1.9030lost-3084
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2133lost-33114
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8937lost-37147
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8941lost-41185
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9538won+36226
18.09.26uralan – Two Moveuralan1.8942lost-42190
18.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Yellow SubmarineTeam Spirit Academy1.9947lost-47232
17.09.26Kalmychata – uralanKalmychata1.9542won+41278
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2547lost-47238
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9052lost-52285
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0258lost-58337
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9565lost-65396
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2472lost-72461
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0680lost-80532
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9689lost-89612
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9699lost-99701
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9790won+87800
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.95100lost-100713
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8975won+66813
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0283lost-83747
29.08.26summer bear – Team Lynxsummer bear2.0392lost-92829
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.