?

Always the underdog

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2898u
ROI
-11.7%
win rate
38%
bets
1259
drawdown
298.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-149u
period 24profit withdrawn+33u
period 23top-up-204u
period 22profit withdrawn+120u
period 21top-up-244u
period 20top-up-118u
period 19top-up-125u
period 18top-up-316u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale26042%-269-2.3%63.8%Select
1% of bankroll125938%-1465-11.7%152.7%Select
Flat (10 units)125938%-1481-11.8%155.2%Select
2% of bankroll125938%-2898-11.7%298.4%Select
5% of bankroll125938%-6999-11.5%695.8%Select
10% of bankroll125938%-13059-11.2%1236.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1259, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Team FalconsNigma Galaxy2.7816won+29-1898
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid1.9217lost-17-1928
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team2.5517lost-17-1911
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0617won+18-1894
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.9517lost-17-1911
15.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – Aurora GamingBETBOOM TEAM1.9117lost-17-1894
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team2.7518lost-18-1877
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience5.1318lost-18-1859
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming3.1619lost-19-1841
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.9218won+17-1822
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming3.4119lost-19-1839
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters3.9519lost-19-1821
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink2.0619won+20-1802
07.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Team SyntaxIlbirs eSports1.9418won+17-1821
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersIlbirs eSports3.0319lost-19-1839
05.08.26Team Falcons – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.2518won+23-1820
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Liquid2.1619lost-19-1843
04.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG3.9319lost-19-1824
03.08.26Team Falcons – BETBOOM TEAMTeam Falcons2.0219won+19-1805
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0419lost-19-1824
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w Team1w Team2.2218won+23-1805
02.08.26Zero Tenacity – LGD GamingZero Tenacity3.4619lost-19-1828
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.3919lost-19-1809
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG2.2020lost-20-1790
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityGLYPH2.0019won+19-1770
01.08.26Enjoy Boys – Yakult BrothersEnjoy Boys1.9920lost-20-1789
01.08.26Yellow Submarine – Vici GamingYellow Submarine2.2820lost-20-1770
31.07.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingXtreme Gaming2.3920won+28-1750
31.07.26BETBOOM TEAM – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.6019won+31-1778
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHEnjoy Boys1.9320lost-20-1809
31.07.26Team avice – NS TeamNS Team2.0819won+21-1789
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.6220lost-20-1810
31.07.26Yellow Submarine – ExecrationExecration2.8420lost-20-1790
30.07.26Team avice – Daxak TeamDaxak Team2.1520won+23-1770
30.07.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team2.0120lost-20-1793
30.07.26Zero Tenacity – PuckChampPuckChamp1.9021lost-21-1772
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team2.4820won+30-1752
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.9720won+19-1782
29.07.26YBN Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team2.0519won+20-1801
28.07.26VooDooSh Team – Daxak TeamDaxak Team2.1419won+21-1821
27.07.26VooDooSh Team – Team aviceTeam avice2.0218won+19-1842
25.07.26Yellow Submarine – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.5519lost-19-1861
24.07.26Zero Tenacity – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports2.3618won+25-1842
22.07.26Zero Tenacity – Level UPLevel UP4.8417won+65-1867
21.07.26Team Lynx – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy3.5716won+42-1932
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsLevel UP3.6015won+40-1974
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.5716lost-16-2014
19.07.26BETBOOM TEAM – PARIVISIONBETBOOM TEAM2.4416lost-16-1998
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming3.8616lost-16-1982
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex2.2217lost-17-1966
18.07.26BETBOOM TEAM – Vici GamingVici Gaming3.5317lost-17-1949
14.07.26Rune Eaters – Virtus.proRune Eaters2.9416won+32-1932
12.07.26LGD Gaming – Inner CircleInner Circle5.1917lost-17-1964
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team3.9917lost-17-1947
12.07.26MOUZ – Vici GamingMOUZ2.1317lost-17-1930
10.07.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming3.0918lost-18-1913
10.07.26PARIVISION – MOUZMOUZ7.0418lost-18-1895
08.07.26Virtus.pro – 1w TeamVirtus.pro2.2418lost-18-1877
08.07.26LGD Gaming – OGOG2.4619lost-19-1858
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming5.6519lost-19-1839
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.