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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1727u
ROI
-18.2%
win rate
40%
bets
129
drawdown
158.5%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-543u
period 2top-up-858u
period 1top-up-326u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll12940%-238-19.1%25.4%Select
Flat (10 units)12940%-246-19.1%26.1%Select
2% of bankroll12940%-461-19%48.2%Select
Martingale3845%-932-53.7%94%Select
5% of bankroll12940%-1037-18.8%103.3%Select
10% of bankroll12940%-1727-18.2%158.5%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2851lost-51-727
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8947won+41-676
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4552lost-52-718
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8948won+42-666
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9553lost-53-708
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4359lost-59-655
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9565lost-65-597
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1173lost-73-531
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1281lost-81-459
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9174won+67-378
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1482lost-82-445
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8975won+67-363
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9184lost-84-430
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1393lost-93-347
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.89103lost-103-254
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9295won+87-150
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.19105lost-105-237
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2094won+112-132
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.08104lost-104-245
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.03116lost-116-140
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.89107won+94-24
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.23118lost-118-119
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05107won+113-0
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1996won+114-113
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.92106lost-106-227
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9098won+88-120
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0388won+91-209
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9281won+75-300
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0690lost-90-374
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.39100lost-100-284
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0713won+14-184
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6814lost-14-198
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8913won+12-183
29.09.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9015lost-15-195
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7512won+22-181
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0514lost-14-202
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1315lost-15-189
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2317lost-17-173
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0515won+16-156
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9517lost-17-172
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4619lost-19-155
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9221lost-21-136
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0119won+19-115
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4317won+24-135
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9619lost-19-159
25.09.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.9521lost-21-140
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2123lost-23-119
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9026lost-26-96
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9628lost-28-71
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9732lost-32-42
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9935lost-35-11
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5439lost-3924
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4734won+5063
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1038lost-3813
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0142lost-4251
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0647lost-4793
22.09.26LGD Gaming – Aurora GamingLGD Gaming1.9052lost-52140
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3546won+62192
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1851lost-51130
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.0046won+46181
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.