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Always the underdog

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-433u
ROI
-18.2%
win rate
41%
bets
128
drawdown
47.4%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-106u
period 2top-up-303u
period 1top-up-24u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll12841%-226-18.3%25.5%Select
Flat (10 units)12841%-236-18.4%26.4%Select
2% of bankroll12841%-433-18.2%47.4%Selected
Martingale3847%-917-55.7%92.8%Select
5% of bankroll12841%-953-17.9%96%Select
10% of bankroll12841%-1559-17.2%140.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 128, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8918lost-18567
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.9419lost-19585
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8918won+16604
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9018won+16587
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4318lost-18571
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9519lost-19590
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1119lost-19608
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1219lost-19627
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9119won+17647
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1420lost-20630
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8919won+17649
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9120lost-20632
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1320lost-20652
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8920lost-20672
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9220won+18692
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1920lost-20674
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2020won+24694
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0820lost-20670
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0321lost-21690
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8920won+18711
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2321lost-21693
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0520won+21714
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1920won+24693
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9220lost-20669
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9020won+18689
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0320won+20671
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9219won+18651
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0620lost-20633
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0320lost-20653
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0714won+15673
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6814lost-14658
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8914won+12672
29.09.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9014lost-14660
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7513won+24674
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0514lost-14650
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1314lost-14664
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2314lost-14678
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0514won+15693
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9514lost-14678
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4615lost-15692
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9215lost-15707
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0115won+15722
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4314won+20707
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9615lost-15687
25.09.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.9515lost-15701
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2115lost-15716
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9015lost-15731
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9616lost-16746
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9716lost-16762
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9916lost-16778
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5417lost-17794
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4716won+24811
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1017lost-17787
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0117lost-17804
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0617lost-17821
22.09.26LGD Gaming – Aurora GamingLGD Gaming1.9018lost-18838
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1818lost-18856
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3517won+24874
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.0017won+17850
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3717lost-17833
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.