Always the underdog

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit

-913u

ROI

-16.1%

win rate

41%

bets

129

drawdown

92.1%

payouts

Balance by period

Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.

working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up

Strategy rules

gps_fixed

What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments

Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt

Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights

Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups

period 3top-up-176u

period 2top-up-579u

period 1top-up-158u

Stake sizes

Stake	Bets	Hit	Profit	ROI	Drawdown	Pick
1% of bankroll	129	41%	-206	-16.4%	22.2%	Select
Flat (10 units)	129	41%	-212	-16.4%	22.8%	Select
2% of bankroll	129	41%	-401	-16.4%	42.4%	Select
5% of bankroll	129	41%	-913	-16.1%	92.1%	Selected
Martingale	38	45%	-932	-53.7%	94%	Select
10% of bankroll	129	41%	-1558	-15.5%	144.9%	Select
Quarter Kelly	0	0%	+0	+0%	0%	Select

Bet-by-bet match log

Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.

All Random 50%Random 25%Random 10%

Date	Match	Bet on	Odds	Stake	Result	±Bank	Bank
14.10.26	Team Resilience – Yakult Brothers	Yakult Brothers	2.28	43	lost	-43	87
14.10.26	Team Lynx – PuckChamp	PuckChamp	2.89	46	lost	-46	131
14.10.26	The WarriorsQ – Shadow Dance	The WarriorsQ	1.94	48	lost	-48	176
13.10.26	Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls	Nemiga Gaming	3.13	43	won	+93	224
13.10.26	CyberHero – Shadow Dance	CyberHero	1.90	42	won	+37	132
13.10.26	Power Rangers – The WarriorsQ	The WarriorsQ	1.95	44	lost	-44	94
13.10.26	Cloud Rising – Cloud Dawning	Cloud Dawning	1.95	46	lost	-46	138
12.10.26	The WarriorsQ – Dawn Bulls	The WarriorsQ	2.11	48	lost	-48	184
11.10.26	Team Spirit – PARIVISION	PARIVISION	2.12	51	lost	-51	233
09.10.26	Aurora Gaming – LGD Gaming	Aurora Gaming	1.91	49	won	+44	284
09.10.26	Team Spirit – Aurora Gaming	Aurora Gaming	2.14	51	lost	-51	240
08.10.26	LEGION – BlasterbI	LEGION	1.89	49	won	+44	291
08.10.26	Aurora Gaming – 1w Team	1w Team	1.91	52	lost	-52	247
08.10.26	Team Yandex – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.13	55	lost	-55	299
07.10.26	CyberHero – BlasterbI	CyberHero	1.89	57	lost	-57	353
07.10.26	Team Synapse – LEGION	LEGION	1.92	55	won	+51	411
07.10.26	MOUZ – CyberHero	MOUZ	2.19	58	lost	-58	360
06.10.26	Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine	Team Synapse	2.20	54	won	+65	418
06.10.26	HULIGANI – CyberHero	HULIGANI	2.08	57	lost	-57	353
05.10.26	MOUZ – Nemiga Gaming	Nemiga Gaming	2.03	60	lost	-60	410
05.10.26	LEGION – BlasterbI	LEGION	1.89	58	won	+51	471
05.10.26	Yellow Submarine – CyberHero	CyberHero	2.23	61	lost	-61	419
03.10.26	Team Spirit – Team Yandex	Team Spirit	2.05	58	won	+61	480
03.10.26	Daxak Team – Cake Team	Cake Team	2.19	55	won	+65	419
03.10.26	PARIVISION – Aurora Gaming	PARIVISION	2.04	52	won	+54	354
02.10.26	BETBOOM TEAM – OG	OG	1.90	50	won	+45	301
02.10.26	LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming	LGD Gaming	1.92	47	won	+44	256
02.10.26	1w Team – Team Nemesis	1w Team	2.03	45	won	+46	212
01.10.26	GamerLegion – Yakult Brothers	Yakult Brothers	2.05	48	lost	-48	166
01.10.26	MOUZ – OG	MOUZ	2.03	50	lost	-50	213
30.09.26	PARIVISION – LGD Gaming	PARIVISION	2.07	20	won	+21	263
30.09.26	BETBOOM TEAM – OG	BETBOOM TEAM	1.89	19	won	+17	242
30.09.26	Team Yandex – MOUZ	MOUZ	2.68	20	lost	-20	225
29.09.26	Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion	GamerLegion	1.90	21	lost	-21	245
29.09.26	1w Team – Natus Vincere	1w Team	2.75	19	won	+34	266
29.09.26	Team Spirit – Team Nemesis	Team Nemesis	2.05	21	lost	-21	232
27.09.26	YBN Team – Cake Team	YBN Team	2.13	22	lost	-22	253
27.09.26	Daxak Team – Rostik Team	Rostik Team	2.23	23	lost	-23	274
27.09.26	avice Team – Cake Team	avice Team	1.95	24	lost	-24	297
27.09.26	Stray Team – YBN Team	YBN Team	2.05	23	won	+24	321
27.09.26	LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere	LGD Gaming	2.46	24	lost	-24	297
26.09.26	Rostik Team – avice Team	avice Team	1.92	25	lost	-25	321
25.09.26	Xtreme Gaming – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.01	24	won	+24	346
25.09.26	Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine	Team Synapse	2.43	22	won	+32	322
25.09.26	Solo Team – avice Team	Solo Team	1.96	24	lost	-24	290
25.09.26	GamerLegion – 1w Team	1w Team	1.95	25	lost	-25	313
25.09.26	Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere	Team Nemesis	2.21	26	lost	-26	338
24.09.26	TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team	Stray Team	1.90	27	lost	-27	364
24.09.26	Team Yandex – 1w Team	1w Team	1.96	29	lost	-29	392
24.09.26	Yellow Submarine – Team Lynx	Team Lynx	1.97	30	lost	-30	421
24.09.26	Two Move – Team Lynx	Two Move	1.99	32	lost	-32	451
24.09.26	Daxak Team – gpK~ Team	gpK~ Team	2.54	34	lost	-34	483
24.09.26	Natus Vincere – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.47	31	won	+46	517
24.09.26	YBN Team – Rostik Team	YBN Team	2.10	33	lost	-33	471
23.09.26	Stray Team – NS Team	NS Team	2.01	35	lost	-35	504
23.09.26	Team Nemesis – Conventus Stellarum	Conventus Stellarum	2.06	37	lost	-37	539
22.09.26	LGD Gaming – Aurora Gaming	LGD Gaming	1.90	39	lost	-39	575
22.09.26	avice Team – Daxak Team	avice Team	2.18	41	lost	-41	614
22.09.26	Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming	Nemiga Gaming	2.35	38	won	+51	654
22.09.26	MOUZ – Hokori	MOUZ	2.00	36	won	+36	603

Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.

This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓