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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1710u
ROI
-18.8%
win rate
40%
bets
130
drawdown
157.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-502u
period 2top-up-882u
period 1top-up-326u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll13040%-246-19.6%26.1%Select
Flat (10 units)13040%-256-19.7%27%Select
2% of bankroll13040%-472-19.6%49.3%Select
Martingale3845%-932-53.7%94%Select
5% of bankroll13040%-1042-19.3%103.8%Select
10% of bankroll13040%-1710-18.8%157.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 130, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Yellow Submarine – Power RangersPower Rangers2.0955lost-55-710
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2861lost-61-655
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8956won+50-593
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.9463lost-63-644
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8958won+51-581
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9564lost-64-632
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9059won+53-568
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9565lost-65-621
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1173lost-73-556
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1281lost-81-483
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9174won+67-403
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1482lost-82-470
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8975won+67-387
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9184lost-84-455
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1393lost-93-371
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.89103lost-103-278
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9295won+87-174
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.19105lost-105-262
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2094won+112-156
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.08104lost-104-269
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.03116lost-116-164
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.89107won+94-48
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.23118lost-118-143
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05107won+113-25
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1996won+114-137
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.92106lost-106-251
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9098won+88-145
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0388won+91-233
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9281won+75-324
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0590lost-90-398
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.03100lost-100-308
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0711won+11-208
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6812lost-12-220
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8911won+10-208
29.09.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9012lost-12-217
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7510won+18-205
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0511lost-11-223
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1313lost-13-212
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2314lost-14-199
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0513won+13-185
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9514lost-14-199
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4616lost-16-184
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9218lost-18-169
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0116won+16-151
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4314won+20-167
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9615lost-15-187
25.09.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.9517lost-17-172
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2119lost-19-154
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9021lost-21-135
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9624lost-24-114
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9726lost-26-91
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9929lost-29-64
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5432lost-32-35
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4728won+41-3
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1031lost-31-44
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0135lost-35-13
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0639lost-3922
22.09.26LGD Gaming – Aurora GamingLGD Gaming1.9043lost-4361
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3538won+51104
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1842lost-4252
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.