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Always the underdog

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-5800u
ROI
-12.5%
win rate
37%
bets
2542
drawdown
548.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-146u
period 24top-up-63u
period 23top-up-362u
period 22profit withdrawn+30u
period 21top-up-280u
period 20top-up-289u
period 19top-up-268u
period 18top-up-326u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale3040%-1053-43%104.8%Select
1% of bankroll254237%-3049-12.6%304.5%Select
Flat (10 units)254237%-3203-12.6%321.9%Select
2% of bankroll254237%-5800-12.5%548.9%Select
5% of bankroll254237%-12415-12.3%1009.5%Select
10% of bankroll254237%-18934-11.7%1260.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2542, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Team FalconsNigma Galaxy2.7816won+29-4800
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid1.9217lost-17-4830
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team2.5517lost-17-4813
15.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – Team FalconsBETBOOM TEAM1.9118lost-18-4796
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.9518lost-18-4778
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience2.1517won+20-4760
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit3.0018lost-18-4780
15.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – Aurora GamingBETBOOM TEAM1.9118lost-18-4763
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team2.7519lost-19-4744
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming2.0419lost-19-4726
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team2.0819lost-19-4707
14.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – PARIVISIONBETBOOM TEAM2.8220lost-20-4687
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.2719won+24-4668
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.2919won+24-4692
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONTeam Falcons2.7019lost-19-4716
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming3.1620lost-20-4697
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming3.4120lost-20-4678
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience8.4020lost-20-4658
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP2.5620won+31-4637
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.9519won+18-4668
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.9119won+17-4687
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP5.9219lost-19-4704
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters3.9520lost-20-4685
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink2.0619won+21-4665
08.08.26Power Rangers – Team SyntaxTeam Syntax3.3520lost-20-4685
07.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Team SyntaxIlbirs eSports1.9419won+18-4666
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink2.0120lost-20-4684
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersIlbirs eSports3.0320lost-20-4664
05.08.26Team Falcons – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.2520won+25-4644
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team2.5620lost-20-4668
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.5621lost-21-4648
05.08.26Team Resilience – Rune EatersRune Eaters2.2221lost-21-4628
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Liquid2.1621lost-21-4607
04.08.26Stray Team – Nix TeamNix Team2.2321won+26-4585
04.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG3.9321lost-21-4611
03.08.26Team Falcons – BETBOOM TEAMTeam Falcons2.0221won+21-4590
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers3.4320won+48-4611
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0420lost-20-4659
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience2.5520won+30-4639
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w Team1w Team2.2219won+23-4670
02.08.26Zero Tenacity – LGD GamingZero Tenacity3.4620lost-20-4693
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.3920lost-20-4673
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG2.2020lost-20-4653
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.9720won+19-4633
02.08.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.1020lost-20-4653
01.08.26Team Liquid – GamerLegionGamerLegion3.5421lost-21-4632
01.08.26Team Falcons – OGOG4.3220won+65-4611
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityGLYPH2.0019won+19-4676
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.9719won+18-4695
01.08.26Enjoy Boys – Yakult BrothersEnjoy Boys1.9919lost-19-4714
01.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – LGD GamingLGD Gaming3.0120lost-20-4694
01.08.26Yellow Submarine – Vici GamingYellow Submarine2.2820lost-20-4675
31.07.26Daxak Team – TpaBoMaH TeamDaxak Team1.9919lost-19-4655
31.07.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingXtreme Gaming2.3919won+26-4636
31.07.26BETBOOM TEAM – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.6018won+29-4661
31.07.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.2318lost-18-4690
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHEnjoy Boys1.9319lost-19-4672
31.07.26Team avice – NS TeamNS Team2.0818won+20-4653
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.6219lost-19-4673
31.07.26Rune Eaters – Midas ClubRune Eaters2.0118won+19-4654
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.