Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-461u
ROI
-19%
win rate
40%
bets
129
drawdown
48.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-124u
period 2top-up-277u
period 1top-up-61u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 129 | 40% | -238 | -19.1% | 25.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 129 | 40% | -246 | -19.1% | 26.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 129 | 40% | -461 | -19% | 48.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 38 | 45% | -932 | -53.7% | 94% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 129 | 40% | -1036 | -18.8% | 103.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 129 | 40% | -1727 | -18.1% | 158.5% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Team Resilience – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 2.28 | 18 | lost | -18 | 539 |
| 14.10.26 | Team Lynx – PuckChamp | PuckChamp | 2.89 | 18 | lost | -18 | 557 |
| 14.10.26 | The WarriorsQ – Shadow Dance | The WarriorsQ | 1.94 | 19 | lost | -19 | 575 |
| 13.10.26 | Stray Team – Stariy_bog Team | Stray Team | 1.89 | 18 | won | +16 | 594 |
| 13.10.26 | CyberHero – Shadow Dance | CyberHero | 1.90 | 18 | won | +16 | 577 |
| 13.10.26 | Power Rangers – The WarriorsQ | The WarriorsQ | 1.95 | 18 | lost | -18 | 561 |
| 13.10.26 | Cloud Rising – Cloud Dawning | Cloud Dawning | 1.95 | 19 | lost | -19 | 580 |
| 12.10.26 | The WarriorsQ – Dawn Bulls | The WarriorsQ | 2.11 | 19 | lost | -19 | 598 |
| 11.10.26 | Team Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.12 | 19 | lost | -19 | 618 |
| 09.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – LGD Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 1.91 | 19 | won | +17 | 637 |
| 09.10.26 | Team Spirit – Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 2.14 | 20 | lost | -20 | 620 |
| 08.10.26 | LEGION – BlasterbI | LEGION | 1.89 | 19 | won | +17 | 639 |
| 08.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.91 | 20 | lost | -20 | 622 |
| 08.10.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.13 | 20 | lost | -20 | 642 |
| 07.10.26 | CyberHero – BlasterbI | CyberHero | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 662 |
| 07.10.26 | Team Synapse – LEGION | LEGION | 1.92 | 20 | won | +18 | 682 |
| 07.10.26 | MOUZ – CyberHero | MOUZ | 2.19 | 20 | lost | -20 | 664 |
| 06.10.26 | Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine | Team Synapse | 2.20 | 20 | won | +24 | 684 |
| 06.10.26 | HULIGANI – CyberHero | HULIGANI | 2.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 660 |
| 05.10.26 | MOUZ – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.03 | 21 | lost | -21 | 681 |
| 05.10.26 | LEGION – BlasterbI | LEGION | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 701 |
| 05.10.26 | Yellow Submarine – CyberHero | CyberHero | 2.23 | 21 | lost | -21 | 683 |
| 03.10.26 | Team Spirit – Team Yandex | Team Spirit | 2.05 | 20 | won | +21 | 704 |
| 03.10.26 | Daxak Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 2.19 | 20 | won | +24 | 683 |
| 03.10.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.92 | 20 | lost | -20 | 659 |
| 02.10.26 | BETBOOM TEAM – OG | OG | 1.90 | 20 | won | +18 | 679 |
| 02.10.26 | 1w Team – Team Nemesis | 1w Team | 2.03 | 20 | won | +20 | 661 |
| 02.10.26 | LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming | LGD Gaming | 1.92 | 19 | won | +18 | 641 |
| 01.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 2.06 | 20 | lost | -20 | 623 |
| 01.10.26 | Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAM | BETBOOM TEAM | 2.39 | 20 | lost | -20 | 643 |
| 30.09.26 | PARIVISION – LGD Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.07 | 14 | won | +15 | 663 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Yandex – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.68 | 14 | lost | -14 | 648 |
| 30.09.26 | BETBOOM TEAM – OG | BETBOOM TEAM | 1.89 | 14 | won | +13 | 662 |
| 29.09.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.90 | 14 | lost | -14 | 650 |
| 29.09.26 | 1w Team – Natus Vincere | 1w Team | 2.75 | 14 | won | +25 | 664 |
| 29.09.26 | Team Spirit – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 2.05 | 14 | lost | -14 | 640 |
| 27.09.26 | YBN Team – Cake Team | YBN Team | 2.13 | 15 | lost | -15 | 654 |
| 27.09.26 | Daxak Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 2.23 | 15 | lost | -15 | 669 |
| 27.09.26 | Stray Team – YBN Team | YBN Team | 2.05 | 15 | won | +15 | 683 |
| 27.09.26 | avice Team – Cake Team | avice Team | 1.95 | 15 | lost | -15 | 668 |
| 27.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | LGD Gaming | 2.46 | 15 | lost | -15 | 683 |
| 26.09.26 | Rostik Team – avice Team | avice Team | 1.92 | 15 | lost | -15 | 698 |
| 25.09.26 | Xtreme Gaming – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.01 | 15 | won | +15 | 714 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine | Team Synapse | 2.43 | 15 | won | +21 | 698 |
| 25.09.26 | Solo Team – avice Team | Solo Team | 1.96 | 15 | lost | -15 | 677 |
| 25.09.26 | GamerLegion – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.95 | 15 | lost | -15 | 692 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.21 | 16 | lost | -16 | 707 |
| 24.09.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 1.90 | 16 | lost | -16 | 723 |
| 24.09.26 | Team Yandex – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.96 | 16 | lost | -16 | 739 |
| 24.09.26 | Yellow Submarine – Team Lynx | Team Lynx | 1.97 | 17 | lost | -17 | 755 |
| 24.09.26 | Two Move – Team Lynx | Two Move | 1.99 | 17 | lost | -17 | 772 |
| 24.09.26 | Daxak Team – gpK~ Team | gpK~ Team | 2.54 | 17 | lost | -17 | 789 |
| 24.09.26 | Natus Vincere – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.47 | 17 | won | +25 | 806 |
| 24.09.26 | YBN Team – Rostik Team | YBN Team | 2.10 | 17 | lost | -17 | 782 |
| 23.09.26 | Stray Team – NS Team | NS Team | 2.01 | 18 | lost | -18 | 799 |
| 23.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Conventus Stellarum | Conventus Stellarum | 2.06 | 18 | lost | -18 | 816 |
| 22.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Aurora Gaming | LGD Gaming | 1.90 | 18 | lost | -18 | 834 |
| 22.09.26 | Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.35 | 18 | won | +24 | 853 |
| 22.09.26 | avice Team – Daxak Team | avice Team | 2.18 | 18 | lost | -18 | 829 |
| 22.09.26 | MOUZ – Hokori | MOUZ | 2.00 | 18 | won | +18 | 847 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.