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Always the favorite

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+5393u
ROI
+3.9%
win rate
95%
bets
1259
drawdown
20.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+404u
period 24profit withdrawn+109u
period 23profit withdrawn+528u
period 22profit withdrawn+151u
period 21profit withdrawn+118u
period 20profit withdrawn+578u
period 19profit withdrawn+129u
period 18profit withdrawn+315u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll125995%+5393+3.9%20.1%Selected
5% of bankroll125995%+2599+3.9%12.8%Select
2% of bankroll125995%+1016+4%6.4%Select
1% of bankroll125995%+504+4%3.8%Select
Flat (10 units)125995%+500+4%3.8%Select
Martingale125995%+487+3.7%5.1%Select
Quarter Kelly3269%+311+21.1%14.8%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1259, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.02140won+36393
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.01140won+16390
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01140won+16389
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03139won+46387
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.01139won+16383
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.15137won+216382
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.01137won+16361
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.01137won+16360
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.02137won+36358
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.06136won+86355
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.22133won+296347
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.25130won+326318
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.01130won+16286
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.02129won+36284
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPNo Hoodwink1.60144lost-1446282
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.22141won+316425
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.03140won+46395
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.03140won+46390
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.26136won+356386
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.30132won+406351
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.01132won+16311
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingTeam Liquid2.50115won+1726310
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGVici Gaming2.15103won+1186137
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.06102won+66019
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.20100won+206013
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.01100won+15993
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03100won+35992
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17109won+195989
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01109won+15970
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.05108won+55969
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionLGD Gaming2.0099won+995964
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0198won+15865
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3595won+335864
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0195won+15831
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0195won+15830
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1294won+115829
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0294won+25818
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0293won+25816
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0193won+15814
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0193won+15813
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2591won+235812
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPLevel UP1.0690won+55789
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSportsNemiga Gaming1.80100lost-1005784
21.07.26Team Lynx – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Lynx1.52112lost-1125884
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsLevel UP1.02111won+25996
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.25109won+275994
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp1.02108won+25967
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01108won+15964
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.12107won+135963
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingBETBOOM Team1.03107won+35951
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.04106won+45947
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingTeam Liquid1.01106won+15943
12.07.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.08105won+85942
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.01105won+15934
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.02105won+25933
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.01105won+15930
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.02105won+25929
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.01105won+15927
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.01105won+15926
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Spirit1.01104won+15925
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.