Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
+1016u
ROI
+4%
win rate
95%
bets
1259
drawdown
6.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
2% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+74u
period 24profit withdrawn+24u
period 23profit withdrawn+93u
period 22profit withdrawn+34u
period 21profit withdrawn+26u
period 20profit withdrawn+98u
period 19profit withdrawn+29u
period 18profit withdrawn+61u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 1259 | 95% | +5393 | +3.9% | 20.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1259 | 95% | +2599 | +3.9% | 12.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1259 | 95% | +1016 | +4% | 6.4% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 1259 | 95% | +504 | +4% | 3.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1259 | 95% | +500 | +4% | 3.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 1259 | 95% | +487 | +3.7% | 5.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 32 | 69% | +311 | +21.1% | 14.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1259, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.02 | 21 | won | +0 | 2016 |
| 20.08.26 | PARIVISION – BETBOOM Team | PARIVISION | 1.01 | 21 | won | +0 | 2016 |
| 16.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 21 | won | +0 | 2016 |
| 15.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.03 | 21 | won | +1 | 2015 |
| 15.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | PARIVISION | 1.01 | 21 | won | +0 | 2015 |
| 15.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.15 | 21 | won | +3 | 2014 |
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 1.01 | 21 | won | +0 | 2011 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | Team Falcons | 1.01 | 21 | won | +0 | 2011 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | Aurora Gaming | 1.02 | 21 | won | +0 | 2011 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | PARIVISION | 1.06 | 21 | won | +1 | 2010 |
| 12.08.26 | Level UP – Rune Eaters | Level UP | 1.22 | 21 | won | +5 | 2009 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 1.25 | 21 | won | +5 | 2004 |
| 08.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 1.01 | 21 | won | +0 | 1999 |
| 07.08.26 | Zero Tenacity – No Hoodwink | Zero Tenacity | 1.02 | 21 | won | +0 | 1999 |
| 06.08.26 | No Hoodwink – Level UP | No Hoodwink | 1.60 | 22 | lost | -22 | 1999 |
| 05.08.26 | Team Liquid – 1w Team | Team Liquid | 1.22 | 21 | won | +5 | 2020 |
| 04.08.26 | Yakult Brothers – Rune Eaters | Yakult Brothers | 1.03 | 21 | won | +1 | 2015 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Team Liquid | 1.03 | 21 | won | +1 | 2015 |
| 03.08.26 | Vici Gaming – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 1.26 | 21 | won | +6 | 2014 |
| 03.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.30 | 21 | won | +6 | 2009 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | PlayTime | 1.01 | 21 | won | +0 | 2002 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Liquid – LGD Gaming | Team Liquid | 2.50 | 21 | won | +31 | 2002 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | Vici Gaming | 2.15 | 20 | won | +23 | 1971 |
| 02.08.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.06 | 20 | won | +1 | 1948 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | NS Team | 1.20 | 20 | won | +4 | 1947 |
| 01.08.26 | Daxak Team – Team avice | Team avice | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1943 |
| 01.08.26 | Midas Club – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.03 | 20 | won | +1 | 1943 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.17 | 20 | won | +3 | 1942 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1938 |
| 31.07.26 | L1ga Team – REKONIX | REKONIX | 1.05 | 20 | won | +1 | 1938 |
| 31.07.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | LGD Gaming | 2.00 | 20 | won | +20 | 1937 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1917 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Ilbirs eSports | 1.35 | 20 | won | +7 | 1917 |
| 30.07.26 | Team Falcons – Vici Gaming | Team Falcons | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1910 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1910 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.12 | 20 | won | +2 | 1910 |
| 29.07.26 | Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.02 | 20 | won | +0 | 1907 |
| 29.07.26 | NS Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 1.02 | 20 | won | +0 | 1907 |
| 28.07.26 | YBN Team – Team avice | Team avice | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1907 |
| 28.07.26 | NS Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1906 |
| 27.07.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | NS Team | 1.25 | 20 | won | +5 | 1906 |
| 24.07.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Level UP | Level UP | 1.06 | 20 | won | +1 | 1901 |
| 24.07.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSports | Nemiga Gaming | 1.80 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1900 |
| 21.07.26 | Team Lynx – Team Spirit Academy | Team Lynx | 1.52 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1920 |
| 20.07.26 | Level UP – Ilbirs eSports | Level UP | 1.02 | 20 | won | +0 | 1941 |
| 20.07.26 | Zero Tenacity – Nemiga Gaming | Zero Tenacity | 1.25 | 20 | won | +5 | 1940 |
| 20.07.26 | Team Lynx – PuckChamp | PuckChamp | 1.02 | 20 | won | +0 | 1935 |
| 19.07.26 | Vici Gaming – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1935 |
| 18.07.26 | Team Yandex – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 1.12 | 20 | won | +2 | 1934 |
| 18.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Vici Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 1.03 | 20 | won | +1 | 1932 |
| 17.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 1.04 | 20 | won | +1 | 1931 |
| 14.07.26 | Team Liquid – Xtreme Gaming | Team Liquid | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1931 |
| 12.07.26 | 1w Team – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.08 | 20 | won | +2 | 1930 |
| 12.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Nemesis | REKONIX | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1929 |
| 11.07.26 | PlayTime – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 1.02 | 20 | won | +0 | 1929 |
| 10.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1928 |
| 10.07.26 | Team Nemesis – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.02 | 20 | won | +0 | 1928 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Yandex – Inner Circle | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1928 |
| 08.07.26 | Vici Gaming – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1927 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Spirit – Team Nemesis | Team Spirit | 1.01 | 20 | won | +0 | 1927 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.