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Always the favorite

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+4908u
ROI
+4.5%
win rate
95%
bets
4993
drawdown
7.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+158u
period 24profit withdrawn+157u
period 23profit withdrawn+154u
period 22profit withdrawn+90u
period 21profit withdrawn+87u
period 20profit withdrawn+181u
period 19profit withdrawn+319u
period 18profit withdrawn+156u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll499395%+35947+4.5%24.3%Select
5% of bankroll499395%+14102+4.5%13.4%Select
2% of bankroll499395%+4908+4.5%7.7%Select
Quarter Kelly9672%+4053+74%6.6%Select
1% of bankroll499395%+2345+4.5%4.7%Select
Martingale499395%+2324+4.4%5.3%Select
Flat (10 units)499395%+2242+4.5%4.2%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4993, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Team FalconsNigma Galaxy1.9023won+205908
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0223won+05887
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0123won+05887
20.08.261w Team – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0123won+05886
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0123won+05886
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.0123won+05886
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Spirit1.0123won+05886
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0523won+15885
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0123won+05884
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1723won+45884
15.08.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.8523lost-235880
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingTeam Liquid1.1223won+35903
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.4523won+105901
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0123won+05890
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingLGD Gaming1.0123won+05890
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0323won+15890
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0123won+05889
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0123won+05889
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1523won+35889
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0123won+05885
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0223won+05885
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0123won+05885
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamOG1.0123won+05884
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0123won+05884
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.1523won+35884
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamXtreme Gaming1.0123won+05881
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Spirit1.0323won+15880
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0423won+15880
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGTeam Resilience1.3022won+75879
14.08.261w Team – Team Falcons1w Team1.1022won+25872
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0522won+15870
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0122won+05869
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.2222won+55868
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.2222won+55864
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0222won+05859
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1722won+45858
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONTeam Falcons1.8023lost-235854
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1222won+35877
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.0622won+15874
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w TeamBETBOOM Team1.2022won+45873
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamTeam Yandex1.0122won+05868
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingTeam Spirit1.0122won+05868
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0222won+05868
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0122won+05868
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.0122won+05867
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGBETBOOM Team1.3522won+85867
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.2022won+45859
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0622won+15855
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2222won+55854
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0122won+05849
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0122won+05849
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.1722won+45848
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0122won+05845
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkTeam Spirit Academy1.0122won+05844
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0322won+15844
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0122won+05844
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2522won+55843
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPLevel UP1.0122won+05838
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseRune Eaters Arise1.0122won+05838
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0122won+05837
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.