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Always the favorite

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+11373u
ROI
+3.6%
win rate
95%
bets
2542
drawdown
25.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+381u
period 24profit withdrawn+86u
period 23profit withdrawn+489u
period 22profit withdrawn+441u
period 21top-up-47u
period 20profit withdrawn+867u
period 19profit withdrawn+775u
period 18profit withdrawn+458u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll254295%+11373+3.6%25.4%Select
5% of bankroll254295%+5281+3.8%13.6%Select
2% of bankroll254295%+2018+3.8%5.7%Select
Quarter Kelly5973%+1301+44.6%10.4%Select
1% of bankroll254295%+994+3.8%3.1%Select
Flat (10 units)254295%+978+3.8%3%Select
Martingale254295%+955+3.6%6.6%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2542, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.02138won+312373
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.01138won+112370
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01138won+112368
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.01137won+112367
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03137won+412366
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.01137won+112362
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.01137won+112360
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.15135won+2012359
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.01135won+112339
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.02134won+312337
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.01134won+112335
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.01134won+112333
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17132won+2212332
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONTeam Falcons1.80146lost-14612310
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.12145won+1712456
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.02144won+312439
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.06144won+912436
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.22140won+3112427
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.01140won+112396
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01140won+112395
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.01140won+112393
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.01140won+112392
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.25136won+3412391
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.01136won+112357
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.02136won+312355
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.02136won+312352
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersPower Rangers1.08135won+1112350
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPNo Hoodwink1.60150lost-15012339
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.22146won+3212489
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersPlayTime1.01146won+112456
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM Team1w Team1.01146won+112455
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.01146won+112453
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.03146won+412452
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResiliencePlayTime1.06145won+912448
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.03144won+412439
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.26141won+3712435
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG1.01140won+112398
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.30136won+4112397
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.01136won+112356
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.01136won+112354
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingTeam Liquid2.50118won+17812353
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGVici Gaming2.15106won+12212175
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.06106won+612053
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w TeamTeam Falcons1.08105won+812047
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.06104won+612039
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.04104won+412032
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityGLYPH1.10103won+1012028
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.20101won+2012018
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionBETBOOM Team1.01101won+111998
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.01100won+111997
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingBETBOOM Team1.01100won+111996
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03100won+311995
31.07.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingXtreme Gaming1.85100won+8511992
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1798won+1711907
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0198won+111890
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHGLYPH1.0198won+111889
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0598won+511888
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionLGD Gaming2.0089won+8911883
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0189won+111794
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3586won+3011794
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.