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Always the favorite

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+2018u
ROI
+3.8%
win rate
95%
bets
2542
drawdown
5.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+72u
period 24profit withdrawn+22u
period 23profit withdrawn+92u
period 22profit withdrawn+85u
period 21top-up-2u
period 20profit withdrawn+137u
period 19profit withdrawn+133u
period 18profit withdrawn+88u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll254295%+11373+3.6%25.4%Select
5% of bankroll254295%+5281+3.8%13.6%Select
2% of bankroll254295%+2018+3.8%5.7%Select
Quarter Kelly5973%+1301+44.6%10.4%Select
1% of bankroll254295%+994+3.8%3.1%Select
Flat (10 units)254295%+978+3.8%3%Select
Martingale254295%+955+3.6%6.6%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2542, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0221won+03018
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0121won+03018
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0121won+03018
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0121won+03017
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0321won+13017
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0121won+03017
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0121won+03016
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1521won+33016
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0121won+03013
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0221won+03013
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0121won+03012
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0121won+03012
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1721won+43012
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONTeam Falcons1.8022lost-223008
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1222won+33030
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0222won+03027
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0622won+13027
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2221won+53026
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0121won+03021
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0121won+03021
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0121won+03020
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0121won+03020
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2521won+53020
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.0121won+03015
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.0221won+03014
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0221won+03014
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0821won+23014
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPNo Hoodwink1.6022lost-223012
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2222won+53034
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersPlayTime1.0122won+03029
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM Team1w Team1.0122won+03029
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.0122won+03028
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0322won+13028
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResiliencePlayTime1.0622won+13028
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0322won+13026
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2621won+63026
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG1.0121won+03020
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3021won+63020
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.0121won+03013
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0121won+03013
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingTeam Liquid2.5021won+313013
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGVici Gaming2.1520won+232982
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0620won+12959
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w TeamTeam Falcons1.0820won+22957
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0620won+12956
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0420won+12955
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityGLYPH1.1020won+22954
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2020won+42952
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionBETBOOM Team1.0120won+02948
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0120won+02948
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingBETBOOM Team1.0120won+02947
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0320won+12947
31.07.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingXtreme Gaming1.8520won+172947
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1720won+32930
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0120won+02926
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHGLYPH1.0120won+02926
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0520won+12926
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionLGD Gaming2.0020won+202925
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0120won+02905
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3519won+72905
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.