Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-11u
ROI
-26.3%
win rate
50%
bets
4
drawdown
1.5%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-10u
period 2top-up-1u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 4 | 50% | -6 | -11.8% | 1.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 4 | 50% | -10 | -26.1% | 1.5% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 4 | 50% | -11 | -26.3% | 1.5% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 4 | 50% | -21 | -26.5% | 3.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 4 | 50% | -54 | -27% | 7.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 4 | 50% | -112 | -28% | 15.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls | Dawn Bulls | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 989 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Yandex – MOUZ | Team Yandex | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 999 |
| 29.09.26 | 1w Team – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 995 |
| 24.09.26 | Daxak Team – gpK~ Team | Daxak Team | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 1005 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.