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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+1658u
ROI
+3.4%
win rate
97%
bets
4687
drawdown
5.2%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+71u
period 24profit withdrawn+53u
period 23profit withdrawn+50u
period 22profit withdrawn+51u
period 21profit withdrawn+39u
period 20profit withdrawn+72u
period 19profit withdrawn+91u
period 18profit withdrawn+52u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll468797%+22015+3.3%19.3%Select
5% of bankroll468797%+9391+3.4%14.8%Select
2% of bankroll468797%+3420+3.4%8.8%Select
1% of bankroll468797%+1658+3.4%5.2%Select
Martingale468797%+1650+3.4%6.4%Select
Flat (10 units)468797%+1608+3.4%5.1%Select
Quarter Kelly1979%+50+6.3%14.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4687, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0211won+02658
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0111won+02658
20.08.261w Team – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0111won+02658
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0111won+02658
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.0111won+02658
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Spirit1.0111won+02658
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0511won+12657
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0111won+02657
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1711won+22657
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingTeam Liquid1.1211won+12655
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.4511won+52654
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0111won+02649
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingLGD Gaming1.0111won+02649
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0311won+02649
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0111won+02648
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0111won+02648
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1511won+22648
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0111won+02647
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0211won+02646
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0111won+02646
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamOG1.0111won+02646
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0111won+02646
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.1511won+22646
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamXtreme Gaming1.0111won+02644
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Spirit1.0311won+02644
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0411won+02644
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGTeam Resilience1.3011won+32644
14.08.261w Team – Team Falcons1w Team1.1011won+12640
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0511won+12639
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0111won+02639
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.2210won+22639
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.2210won+22636
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+22634
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0210won+02632
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1210won+12632
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.0610won+12631
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w TeamBETBOOM Team1.2010won+22630
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamTeam Yandex1.0110won+02628
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingTeam Spirit1.0110won+02628
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0210won+02628
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0110won+02628
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.0110won+02628
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGBETBOOM Team1.3510won+42627
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.2010won+22624
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+12622
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2210won+22621
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0110won+02619
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+02619
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.1710won+22619
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0110won+02617
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkTeam Spirit Academy1.0110won+02617
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0310won+02617
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0110won+02616
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2510won+32616
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPLevel UP1.0110won+02614
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseRune Eaters Arise1.0110won+02614
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+02614
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZMOUZ1.0810won+12613
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports1.1010lost-102613
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0110won+02623
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.