Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
+150u
ROI
+4.7%
win rate
63%
bets
129
drawdown
55.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+108u
period 2top-up-81u
period 1profit withdrawn+122u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 129 | 63% | +1345 | +11.3% | 32.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 129 | 63% | +671 | +10.8% | 23.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 129 | 63% | +270 | +10.6% | 12.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 129 | 63% | +150 | +4.7% | 55.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 129 | 63% | +135 | +10.5% | 6.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 129 | 63% | +135 | +10.5% | 6.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Team Resilience – Yakult Brothers | Team Resilience | 1.61 | 20 | won | +12 | 1150 |
| 14.10.26 | zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE Team | zxcursed Team | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1138 |
| 14.10.26 | The WarriorsQ – Shadow Dance | Shadow Dance | 1.83 | 20 | won | +17 | 1148 |
| 13.10.26 | Stray Team – Stariy_bog Team | Stariy_bog Team | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1131 |
| 13.10.26 | Power Rangers – The WarriorsQ | Power Rangers | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 1141 |
| 13.10.26 | Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit Academy | Dawn Bulls | 1.54 | 10 | won | +5 | 1133 |
| 13.10.26 | Cloud Rising – Cloud Dawning | Cloud Rising | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 1127 |
| 12.10.26 | The WarriorsQ – Dawn Bulls | Dawn Bulls | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | 1119 |
| 11.10.26 | Team Spirit – PARIVISION | Team Spirit | 1.70 | 20 | won | +14 | 1112 |
| 09.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1098 |
| 09.10.26 | Team Spirit – Aurora Gaming | Team Spirit | 1.68 | 20 | won | +14 | 1108 |
| 08.10.26 | LEGION – BlasterbI | BlasterbI | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1094 |
| 08.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – 1w Team | Aurora Gaming | 1.86 | 10 | won | +9 | 1104 |
| 08.10.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | Team Yandex | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 1096 |
| 07.10.26 | CyberHero – BlasterbI | BlasterbI | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1089 |
| 07.10.26 | Team Synapse – LEGION | Team Synapse | 1.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1071 |
| 07.10.26 | MOUZ – CyberHero | CyberHero | 1.66 | 20 | won | +13 | 1081 |
| 06.10.26 | Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine | Yellow Submarine | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1068 |
| 06.10.26 | HULIGANI – CyberHero | CyberHero | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 1078 |
| 05.10.26 | MOUZ – Nemiga Gaming | MOUZ | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 1071 |
| 05.10.26 | LEGION – BlasterbI | LEGION | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1063 |
| 05.10.26 | Yellow Submarine – CyberHero | Yellow Submarine | 1.63 | 40 | won | +25 | 1054 |
| 03.10.26 | Team Spirit – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.75 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1029 |
| 03.10.26 | Daxak Team – Cake Team | Daxak Team | 1.66 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1049 |
| 03.10.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | LGD Gaming | 1.86 | 80 | won | +68 | 1059 |
| 02.10.26 | BETBOOM TEAM – OG | BETBOOM TEAM | 1.87 | 40 | lost | -40 | 990 |
| 02.10.26 | 1w Team – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 1.76 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1030 |
| 02.10.26 | LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 1.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1050 |
| 01.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – Team Liquid | Aurora Gaming | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 1060 |
| 01.10.26 | Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAM | Team Yandex | 1.56 | 20 | won | +11 | 1053 |
| 30.09.26 | PARIVISION – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 1.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1042 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Yandex – MOUZ | Team Yandex | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 1052 |
| 30.09.26 | BETBOOM TEAM – OG | OG | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1043 |
| 29.09.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | Aurora Gaming | 1.87 | 20 | won | +17 | 1053 |
| 29.09.26 | 1w Team – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1035 |
| 29.09.26 | Team Spirit – Team Nemesis | Team Spirit | 1.75 | 10 | won | +7 | 1045 |
| 27.09.26 | YBN Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 1038 |
| 27.09.26 | Daxak Team – Rostik Team | Daxak Team | 1.63 | 20 | won | +13 | 1031 |
| 27.09.26 | Stray Team – YBN Team | Stray Team | 1.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1018 |
| 27.09.26 | avice Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 1028 |
| 27.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 1.53 | 10 | won | +5 | 1020 |
| 26.09.26 | Rostik Team – avice Team | Rostik Team | 1.86 | 40 | won | +34 | 1015 |
| 25.09.26 | Xtreme Gaming – LGD Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 1.78 | 20 | lost | -20 | 980 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine | Yellow Submarine | 1.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1000 |
| 25.09.26 | Solo Team – avice Team | avice Team | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 1010 |
| 25.09.26 | GamerLegion – 1w Team | GamerLegion | 1.83 | 10 | won | +8 | 1002 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 1.64 | 10 | won | +6 | 994 |
| 24.09.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.88 | 10 | won | +9 | 987 |
| 24.09.26 | Team Yandex – 1w Team | Team Yandex | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 979 |
| 24.09.26 | Yellow Submarine – Team Lynx | Yellow Submarine | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 970 |
| 24.09.26 | Two Move – Team Lynx | Team Lynx | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 962 |
| 24.09.26 | Daxak Team – gpK~ Team | Daxak Team | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 954 |
| 24.09.26 | Natus Vincere – LGD Gaming | Natus Vincere | 1.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 944 |
| 24.09.26 | YBN Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 954 |
| 23.09.26 | Stray Team – NS Team | Stray Team | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 947 |
| 23.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Conventus Stellarum | Team Nemesis | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 939 |
| 22.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 1.87 | 20 | won | +17 | 932 |
| 22.09.26 | Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming | Team Spirit Academy | 1.58 | 10 | lost | -10 | 915 |
| 22.09.26 | avice Team – Daxak Team | Daxak Team | 1.66 | 20 | won | +13 | 925 |
| 22.09.26 | MOUZ – Hokori | Hokori | 1.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 911 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.