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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 2:1
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Inner Circleloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 30 games
37%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 21 game
43%
Tiny
Tiny
Hellscream · 21 game
38%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 19 games
42%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Abed · 19 games
42%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Abed · 18 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
35%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
SabeRLight- · 17 games
47%

Inner Circle

Tiny
Tiny
Jing · 24 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 23 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 23 games
52%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 22 games
41%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Supream^ · 18 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
41%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 16 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
laise · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
643 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
591 picks · 334 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
472 picks · 553 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
457 picks · 660 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
433 picks · 378 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
354 picks · 522 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 406 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 1030 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Inner Circle
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total75% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:28
Virtus.pro 62%Inner Circle 38%
The model gave 62% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 47:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerTimado
50% · 68 games53% · 133 games
Nature's Prophet423
Nature's Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAbed
46% · 561 game50% · 161 game
Timbersawlaise
Timbersaw
Undying
UndyingSabeRLight-
46% · 146 games52% · 316 games
Ember SpiritStojkov
Ember Spirit
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightHellscream
53% · 181 game52% · 282 games
HoodwinkFernans
Hoodwink
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernFly
51% · 59 games48% · 123 games
EnchantressSe
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct54:23
Virtus.pro 63%Inner Circle 37%
The model gave 63% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 52:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectreTimado
41% · 10 games41% · 81 game
Timbersawlaise
Timbersaw
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritAbed
54% · 42 games59% · 17 games
Clinkz423
Clinkz
Undying
UndyingSabeRLight-
56% · 119 games47% · 120 games
Storm SpiritStojkov
Storm Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowHellscream
53% · 155 games49% · 71 game
RubickFernans
Rubick
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernFly
44% · 72 games55% · 109 games
AxeSe
Axe
Game 3prediction correct37:16
Virtus.pro 61%Inner Circle 39%
The model gave 61% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 39:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendTimado
55% · 276 games48% · 183 games
Kez423
Kez
Pangolier
PangolierAbed
50% · 338 games48% · 125 games
Undyinglaise
Undying
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
50% · 260 games56% · 157 games
InvokerStojkov
Invoker
Dark Willow
Dark WillowHellscream
39% · 135 games56% · 439 games
HoodwinkFernans
Hoodwink
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernFly
47% · 47 games50% · 152 games
EnchantressSe
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 75%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3