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DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Fusionwin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Looking for Orgloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fusion

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Michael · 10 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Prada · 10 games
50%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
Prada · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Frank · 8 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Mnz · 8 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Prada · 8 games
38%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Frank · 7 games
43%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Frank · 6 games
50%

Looking for Org

Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 24 games
46%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 21 game
48%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Yadomi · 21 game
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 18 games
39%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 18 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 18 games
44%
Doom
Doomsignature
Sacred · 16 games
69%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Matthew · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
403 picks · 511 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
394 picks · 320 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
364 picks · 383 bans
46%
Pangolier
Pangolier
349 picks · 567 bans
45%
Lion
Lion
339 picks · 163 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
334 picks · 417 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
329 picks · 759 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
310 picks · 458 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 39%
Hero pool strength53% Fusion
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total53% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Fusion 47%Looking for Org 53%
The model gave 53% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Fusion.
Game 2prediction missed
Fusion 47%Looking for Org 53%
The model gave 53% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Fusion.
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 53%
Series resultFusion 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2