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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Azure Rayloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 25 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 24 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Scofield · 19 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 17 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
K1 · 13 games
77%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 13 games
69%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 12 games
58%

Azure Ray

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fantasy · 21 game
52%
Batrider
Batrider
Fantasy · 12 games
25%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
lou · 12 games
42%
Sven
Svenoften banned
lou · 12 games
42%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 11 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
fy · 11 games
18%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Ori · 11 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfire
fy · 11 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
352 picks · 323 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
349 picks · 470 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
331 picks · 463 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
304 picks · 592 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
303 picks · 174 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
276 picks · 334 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
268 picks · 441 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
249 picks · 357 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 61%
Hero pool strength59% Heroic
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total53% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:10
Heroic 52%Azure Ray 48%
The model gave 52% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 31:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistParker
46% · 87 games52% · 205 games
Lunalou
Luna
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit4nalog
48% · 79 games52% · 69 games
Underlordniu
Underlord
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDavai
45% · 97 games45% · 76 games
MuertapLAnet
Muerta
Lion
LionScofield
49% · 104 games63% · 68 games
Elder TitanFantasy
Elder Titan
Omniknight
OmniknightKJ
51% · 51 game
Game 2prediction missed5:24
Heroic 51%Azure Ray 49%
The model gave 51% on Heroic — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 31:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinParker
48% · 118 games49% · 148 games
Shadow Fiendlou
Shadow Fiend
Invoker
Invoker4nalog
58% · 91 game48% · 57 games
Dawnbreakerniu
Dawnbreaker
Mars
MarsDavai
51% · 151 game48% · 260 games
LionpLAnet
Lion
Enchantress
EnchantressKJ
53% · 172 games47% · 241 game
TuskFantasy
Tusk
Hoodwink
HoodwinkScofield
51% · 174 games
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2