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BLAST Slam VII · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Falconsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
63%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 30 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 24 games
83%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 23 games
74%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
70%

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 33 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 27 games
59%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 26 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
60%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 23 games
61%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
608 picks · 378 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
496 picks · 583 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
474 picks · 393 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
414 picks · 576 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 948 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
339 picks · 882 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 6
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:13
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Team Falcons 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidKiritych
59% · 26 games45% · 13 games
NecrophosATF
Necrophos
Puck
PuckgpK~
53% · 280 games40% · 41 game
Drow RangerSkiter
Drow Ranger
Undying
UndyingMieRo
52% · 50 games46% · 237 games
SlardarSumaiL
Slardar
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
57% · 215 games48% · 251 game
PhoenixSneyking
Phoenix
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorKataomi
55% · 113 games44% · 142 games
LionCr1t-
Lion
Game 2prediction correct33:10
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Team Falcons 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidKiritych
60% · 32 games46% · 29 games
Drow RangerSkiter
Drow Ranger
Puck
PuckgpK~
57% · 227 games42% · 147 games
TidehunterATF
Tidehunter
Undying
UndyingMieRo
47% · 69 games52% · 44 games
Death ProphetSumaiL
Death Prophet
Mirana
MiranaSave-
49% · 26 games46% · 92 games
EnchantressSneyking
Enchantress
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorKataomi
58% · 67 games46% · 109 games
LionCr1t-
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2