BLAST Slam VII · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 30 games
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 24 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 23 games
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Team Falcons
Tinysignature
Skiter · 33 games
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 27 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 26 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 23 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
608 picks · 378 bans
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
496 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
474 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
414 picks · 576 bans
Puck
351 picks · 948 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 882 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 6
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:13
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Team Falcons 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidKiritych
NecrophosATF
PuckgpK~
Drow RangerSkiter
UndyingMieRo
SlardarSumaiL
Shadow DemonSave-
PhoenixSneyking
Treant ProtectorKataomi
LionCr1t-
Game 2prediction correct33:10
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Team Falcons 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidKiritych
Drow RangerSkiter
PuckgpK~
TidehunterATF
UndyingMieRo
Death ProphetSumaiL
MiranaSave-
EnchantressSneyking
Treant ProtectorKataomi
LionCr1t-
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2