BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Hoodwinkoften banned
Ari · 25 games
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 22 games
Rubick
Ari · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Wisper · 19 games
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 19 games
Doomsignature
Wisper · 17 games
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 17 games
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 17 games
Level UP
Rubick
Jeezy · 7 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
Brewmasteroften banned
ififall · 4 games
Doomoften banned
ififall · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Focus · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
359 picks · 350 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 407 bans
Jakiro
344 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
320 picks · 511 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
282 picks · 255 bans
Windranger
276 picks · 367 bans
Dragon Knight
267 picks · 459 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 20%
Hero pool strength66% OG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:14
OG 77%Level UP 23%
The model gave 77% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 30:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight23savage
MedusaLowskill
DoomWisper
TinyMaTson
Earth SpiritNine
Muertaxsvampire
Dark WillowAri
ClockwerkSsaSpartan
Shadow DemonCeb
Game 2prediction correct38:15
OG 75%Level UP 25%
The model gave 75% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 35:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
EnigmaWisper
Dragon KnightLowskill
Alchemist23savage
PuckMaTson
Queen of PainNine
EnchantressSsaSpartan
Nyx AssassinAri
Dark Willowxsvampire
WindrangerCeb
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 89%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2