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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Ari · 25 games
52%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 22 games
64%
Rubick
Rubick
Ari · 22 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Wisper · 19 games
53%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 19 games
53%
Doom
Doomsignature
Wisper · 17 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 17 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 17 games
65%

Level UP

Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 7 games
14%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
17%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
ififall · 4 games
25%
Doom
Doomoften banned
ififall · 4 games
25%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Focus · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
359 picks · 350 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
356 picks · 407 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
344 picks · 258 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
320 picks · 511 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
282 picks · 255 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
276 picks · 367 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
267 picks · 459 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 20%
Hero pool strength66% OG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:14
OG 77%Level UP 23%
The model gave 77% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 30:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight23savage
49% · 233 games46% · 100 games
MedusaLowskill
Medusa
Doom
DoomWisper
55% · 211 games53% · 353 games
TinyMaTson
Tiny
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNine
41% · 43 games43% · 128 games
Muertaxsvampire
Muerta
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAri
50% · 171 game57% · 235 games
ClockwerkSsaSpartan
Clockwerk
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonCeb
51% · 158 games
Game 2prediction correct38:15
OG 75%Level UP 25%
The model gave 75% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 35:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Enigma
EnigmaWisper
55% · 118 games47% · 168 games
Dragon KnightLowskill
Dragon Knight
Alchemist
Alchemist23savage
51% · 118 games51% · 122 games
PuckMaTson
Puck
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNine
50% · 49 games48% · 158 games
EnchantressSsaSpartan
Enchantress
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinAri
48% · 57 games48% · 76 games
Dark Willowxsvampire
Dark Willow
Windranger
WindrangerCeb
52% · 182 games
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 89%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2