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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
KJ · 35 games
49%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
4nalog · 25 games
56%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
K1 · 19 games
68%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
KJ · 19 games
63%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
4nalog · 17 games
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Davai · 17 games
65%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Scofield · 17 games
41%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
KJ · 16 games
44%

Xtreme Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 27 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 20 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 20 games
75%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 19 games
74%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
65%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 17 games
71%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 16 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 217 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 638 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
415 picks · 727 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
408 picks · 574 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
403 picks · 361 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 164 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 791 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
340 picks · 949 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 55%
Hero pool strength58% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total87% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:24
Heroic 26%Xtreme Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 37:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordK1
50% · 39 games53% · 39 games
ClinkzAme
Clinkz
Zeus
Zeus4nalog
42% · 63 games53% · 33 games
ViperXm
Viper
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDavai
54% · 161 game50% · 146 games
DoomXxs
Doom
Clockwerk
ClockwerkScofield
50% · 132 games56% · 41 game
MarciXinQ
Marci
Bane
BaneKJ
52% · 47 games46% · 183 games
EnchantressDy
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct8:23
Heroic 26%Xtreme Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 25:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautK1
52% · 25 games55% · 114 games
WeaverAme
Weaver
Pangolier
PangolierDavai
47% · 172 games43% · 40 games
SniperXm
Sniper
Timbersaw
Timbersaw4nalog
42% · 131 game48% · 162 games
BrewmasterXxs
Brewmaster
Pugna
PugnaKJ
56% · 102 games59% · 64 games
MarciXinQ
Marci
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeScofield
51% · 105 games50% · 155 games
DisruptorDy
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 87%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2